Statistics – Page 172 – William M. Briggs

The Problem Of Grue Isn’t; Or, A Gruesome Non-Paradox About Induction

Skepticism about induction happens only among academic philosophers, and only in print. Tell an induction skeptic to take a long walk off a short dock or hint that his health…

Statistics

Please Don’t Smooth Your (Social Media) Data!

Don't Don't smooth your data and then use that smoothed data as input to other analysis. You will fool yourself. You will make over-confident decisions. It is the wrong thing…

Culture Statistics

Humanae Vitae & The Sexual Revolution: Theories And Predictions

This corrected post originally ran 14 May 2014. But given rumblings in the Church, that it is Lent, and the importance of the message to all of us, it is…

Statistics

Global Warming’s Shark Jumping Moment

Travel day today, so something light and airy---and incomplete. President Obama, presumably sacrificing a tee time, went to keyboard and typed these words: This is a big moment in the…

Philosophy Statistics

Truth, Knowledge, Belief, & Gettier Problems

Proof Isn't All That The first section can be skipped for those who know what necessary versus conditional truth is. I recall an anecdote about John von Neumann which had…

Statistics

Don’t Say “Natural Variability”

Word that the climate of doom we were promised (repeatedly) has not obtained has begun leaking out. Climatologists have known this for quite some time, but now even environmental activists…

Statistics

A Common, Unfortunate, Avoidable, Devastating Error In Statistics

It's a doozy, this error of ours. So ubiquitous is it that it's hardly noticeable. Yet it is sinking us into scientism and wild overconfidence. Every time it appears, both…

Culture Statistics

The Coming Cancer Panic

Maybe it won't be cancer. Maybe it will be irumodic syndrome or Clarke's disease. Or maybe it will be something else. But probably it will be cancer. If I had…

Paul Murphy on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
hey doc Steven Hayward's substack post on "Pope Bob" https://stevehayward.substack.com/p/pope-bob includes an image and summary of a book on "evaluative…
JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…
Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025
What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…
Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…
Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…