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Posted inStatistics

Frequenstism Is Entirely Ad Hoc; And So Are Priors. Use The Third Way Instead

https://twitter.com/learnfromerror/status/638841417461276672 Short note today, because today, and most days for the next couple of weeks, are book days. I am nearly finished with the damned thing. I'm now handling drudgery…
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Posted inStatistics

Rare Win For Forces Of Sanity: Or, PM2.5 Isn’t As Scary As We’ve Been Told

Quick note to a news story in which I have an interest. WORLD LOGISTICS CENTER: Moreno Valley OKs megawarehouse on 3-2 vote After three years of controversy that has divided…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Minds Have Become So Rotted By Global Warming They Listen To Naomi Klein

Two weeks Northern Michigan vacation and I still can't escape. Anti-capitalist activist, Vatican invitee, non-scientist, and authoress of extremist political tracts Naomi Klein said global warming will make Australia "meaner".…
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Posted inStatistics

Trenberth Is Wrong About Global Warming: The PDO Is An Effect, Not A Cause

Kevin "Travesty" Trenberth had a peer-reviewed article in Science entitled, "Has there been a hiatus? Internal climate variability masks climate-warming trends." First, the word "hiatus" is wrong. Using it assumes…
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Posted inStatistics

Is Young Fatherhood Causally Related To Midlife Mortality? Wee P-values Say Yes!

The title of today's post is culled from the peer-reviewed paper "Is young fatherhood causally related to midlife mortality? A sibling fixed-effect study in Finland" by Elina Einiö and two…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Briggs Is Available To Speak. Update

You've seen the videos...You've read the papers...You know the blog...Now hire the man! For a limited time only---All men are mortal, Briggs is a man, etc.---W. M. Briggs is available…
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Posted inStatistics

Having A Kid Worse Than Divorce Or Death? Wee P-values Say Yes

When I first ascend to Emperor, after throwing into the dungeon any within earshot who cannot speak a full sentence without using 'like', my first act will be to create…
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Posted inStatistics

The Third Way Of Probability & Statistics: Beyond Testing and Estimation To Importance, Relevance, and Skill. New Paper

New paper up at Arxiv, which is a sort of précis to some key chapters in my book most relevant to probability and statistical modeling. Abstract: There is a third…
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