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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inStatistics

Grandmaster: Men Better At Chess. Or, Data And The Underdetermination Of Theory

Update Note the New & Improved title! Chess Grandmaster Nigel Short caused a stink, reaching oooo-weee! but not quite burn-him! levels, when he said that men and women are different…
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Posted inStatistics

The Logic Puzzle That Is “Stumping The Internet.” Update: Now With Solution

The Washington Post thinks the puzzle above is hideously difficult and says that it has become an "obsession". The writer there certainly finds it sweat-inducing: "As the problem spread far…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Space’s 10 Mistakes People Make When Arguing Science

Reader Ken pointed us to Space.com's click-me-click-me! article "The 10 Mistakes People Make When Arguing Science". Since everybody loves numbered lists, I'll duplicate their efforts here, using their mistakes. Isn't…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Masters Statistics & (Some) Predictions

Here's a view of the winning scores from par since the inception of the tournament. The early years saw little variability, but since the 60s there were a lot more…
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Posted inStatistics

P-Value Hacking Is Finally Being Noticed

Since I'm on the road, all typos today are free of charge. Some reasonably good news to report. A peer-reviewed paper: "The fickle P value generates irreproducible results" by Lewis…
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Posted inStatistics

What Evidence Would Persuade You That Man-Made Climate Change Is Real?

Somebody named Ronald Bailey (he isn't anybody I know) at the inaptly named Reason asked the good question which heads this post. Second thought: the question is awful. No scientist…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Global Warming Hypocrisy: Or, Science Is Politics

Lefties take money, too In an interview with far-left New York Times, activist and part-time scientist Michael Oppenheimer says "nothing follows" from his taking moola from the EDF (Environmental Defense…
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Posted inStatistics

Bill Nye The Science Guy Confuses Scientific Uncertainty Versus Doubt

On the road, so something quick. Reader Paul Mullen writes: Briggs, A fellow at the salt mine was thoughtful enough to leave a copy in the break room of April's…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026

    I think Mr. Blow hit the nail on the head.

  2. Uncle Mike on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026

    Statisticians always get blamed for everything. My friend is a statistician, so it's his own stupid fault.

  3. JH on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026

    (A) Both valid and sound arguments are considered correct. The premise for a valid argument may be false. (See https://iep.utm.edu/val-snd/).…

  4. Joe Blow on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026

    what a humongous lot of wankery!!

  5. Pk on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026

    I chose A as clearly correct. The statistician's method for increasing the overall correctness does not refer to or support…

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