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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

First Annual WMBriggs.com Bad Science Award!

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Announcement In the proud and rarely abused tradition of Honoring Important People, we present…
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Posted inStatistics

Naomi Oreskes Plays Dumb On Statistics And Climate Change

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Remember how I said, again and again---and again---that everybody gets statistics wrong? Here's proof…
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Posted inStatistics

Real Climate Temperature “Trend” Article Gets It Wrong (Like So Many Do)

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Everything that can go wrong with a time series analysis has gone wrong with…
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Posted inStatistics

On The Uselessness Of Lie Detector (And Medical) Screenings, And The Ames Spy Case

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xr8BUxVRwFY This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Have you seen the television series The Assets? Dramatization of the Sandy Grimes-Jeanne…
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Posted inStatistics

How’d We Do On Our 2014 Predictions?

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Time to tally. As has become our tradition, each New Year's Eve we see…
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Posted inStatistics

Monty Hall And This Video Prove Probability Is Measure Of Truth

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C5-I0bAuEUE This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. This post is really an excuse to highlight a cute video that's being…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Improper Language About Priors

Suppose you decided (almost surely by some ad hoc rule) that the uncertainty in some thing (call it y) is best quantified by a normal distribution with central parameter θ…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

I Also Declare The Bayesian vs. Frequentist Debate Over For Data Scientists

I stole the title, adding the word "also", from an article by Rafael Irizarry at Simply Stats (tweeted by Diego Kuonen). First, brush clearing. Data scientists. Sounds like galloping bureaucratic…
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  1. LabRat on No Class: But Here’s Some HomeworkDecember 22, 2025

    Regarding the third abstract - are they trying to turn the old insult about fart sniffing into a positive of…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Climate ModelsDecember 22, 2025

    As of today; Dec 22, days will be getting longer. Does that count (as climate change)?

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    It actually came closer to a fair game than I expected. But as long as there’s a vig, it’s only…

  4. Briggs on Is Powerball A “Fair Game”?December 20, 2025

    Dixon, Say. I have a marvelous idea. Can you guess what is it?

  5. Dixon E Duval on Is Powerball A “Fair Game”?December 20, 2025

    Briggs was such a power house 20 -25 years ago and it is disappointing to see his present day email…

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