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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Writer Says Discovery Of Extraterrestrial Life Would Be Bad News For God. God Says Nope

The danger of writing about that in which you are ignorant is that you're bound to look foolish. Let's see an example. Jeff Schweitzer, who bills himself as a scientist…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause. New Paper

Cancer of the albondigas is horrifyingly under-diagnosed. See your doctor today and ask him if Profitizol is right for you. Today's post, in a way, is at Arxiv: The Crisis…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Stream: Vatican Environmental Conference: A Marriage of Bad Governors and Bad Science

Today's post is at the Stream: Vatican Environmental Conference: A Marriage of Bad Governors and Bad Science. The excerpt here keeps my caveman joke which was lost somewhere downstream. Jerry…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bread From Something Or Nothing? Or, What’s A Miracle?

We interrupt our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles for this brief message. You've heard of the miracle of loaves and fishes? What's a miracle? How do miracles happen? Read these…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More Reasons Not To Use The Precautionary Principle: Update

All probability is conditional and we are always interested in some proposition, call it X. We want to know "the probability of X". Well, there is none: not ever. There…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: Attack Of The Black Swans From Outer Space!

Today's post is at The Stream: "Attack Of The Black Swans From Outer Space: Nassim Nicholas Taleb and his co-authors fail to show their precautionary principle provides any guidance in…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Climate Change Alarmists Appear Immunized Against Reality at The Federalist

Today's post is at The Federalist: "Climate Change Alarmists Appear Immunized Against Reality". So Ars Technica sent a young man who bills himself as an "educator" and hydrologist to the…
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Posted inStatistics

Idols With Wee P Values. Statistics As Ritual

Or, rather, wee p-values are idolized. And it isn't just me saying so. Reader Dan Hughes points us to Gerd Gigerenzer and Julian Marewski's peer-reviewed paper "Surrogate Science: The Idol…
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  1. JohnK on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 2, 2026

    I liked the "zinc" metaphor very much. I really appreciate the pains you took on this piece, Matt, which are…

  2. shawn marshall on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 1, 2026

    Let me say something stupid cuz I'm not vey bright - to me it is an indication of the Existence…

  3. Carlos Julio Casanova Guerra on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 1, 2026

    I was hoping you wrote about race, because I wanted to hand you a quote, since long ago, but I…

  4. McChuck on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 1, 2026

    DIE, put this way, sounds an awful lot like Lysenkoism.

  5. John Pate on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 1, 2026

    As I'm fond of pointing out, a 100% of the reason you're a man and not a monkey is genetics.…

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