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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Brain-Scan Lie Detectors Don’t Work

Did you think they would? I've told this story many times, but, hey, why not once more? I had a string of letters after my super-duper top secret clearance when…
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Posted inStatistics

Racism Eats Telomeres. An Exciting New Paper-Generating Research Area

A crack team of researchers led by David Chae has "discovered" that racism, the severest of all crimes, eats the telomeres of black men. Or maybe "eat" is the wrong…
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Posted inStatistics

National Academy Of Sciences Mistakes Politics For Science. Again

Sometimes I want to write but only tears will come. I (a member of no party) quote from the opening of a recent "scientific" study published by that august organization,…
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Posted inStatistics

On The Role Of Genetics In Politics

This paper is worth taking extra time to disassemble: "genopolitics" is part of a growing trend in the academy. The Mating Game If you can pass on your political "orientation"…
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Posted inStatistics

Do Dogs Poop In Alignment With The Earth’s Magnetic Field?

The scientific life is not as glamorous as its propaganda would have you believe. It isn't all jetting from luxury hotel to tropical island conference to plan the next round…
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Posted inStatistics

The Protocols Of The Elders Of Big Oil

Before you're used to it, it can be both fascinating and amusing to listen to the ravings of a lunatic. The way they can weave tales of persecution and nefarious…
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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

Predictions 2014—Register Yours Today!

What will happen in the world in 2014? You have until 10 January to tell us in the comments below. Let's hope we're more accurate than we were last year,…
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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

How’d We Do On Our 2013 Predictions?

We have proved yet again that the future is that undiscovered country with our predictions for 2013. See the original guesses here. Don't make new predictions here. Tomorrow I'll start…
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  1. Briggs on The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club ExampleJune 16, 2025

    Paul, You're right. It sucked. I'm redoing. JH, Very well. Construct for us a model that does not do what…

  2. Paul murphy on The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club ExampleJune 16, 2025

    Ok, maybe I need more coffee but I found that very confusing - too much I think that you think…

  3. JH on The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club ExampleJune 16, 2025

    The mathematical result from the Di Finetti's 0-1 Representation Theorem discussed here tells us, under the assumption of exchangeability (which…

  4. spudjr60 on The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club ExampleJune 16, 2025

    Well, it is a good thing, that I know beyond any doubt that all conspiracy theories are false. And, I…

  5. hudbwu on Over-Certainty Of Polygenic ScoresJune 11, 2025

    I stopped midway to write this comment. What exactly is the difference between polygenic scores and two-layer neural networks? Other…

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