Statistics – Page 195 – William M. Briggs

The Global Warming Non-Expert Expert

Reporteritis is the disease, or rather psychiatric condition, common among journalists, brought on by exposure to important people and events. The exposure causes the journalist to feel that he too…

Statistics

Ask A Scientific Ethicist: Baby Making, Auto Mishap, ISIS Attacks

This was supposed to run this morning. No idea why it didn't. This week, three letters from concerned readers. Too many babies Dear Scientific Ethicist, Hopefully this subject matter isn't…

Statistics

It Makes No Sense To Say You’re More Likely To Die Of Bee Sting Than Shark Bite

The National Journal says: "The odds of being killed by a shark are about 1 in 3.7 million. The odds of being killed by a sting from a bee, wasp,…

Statistics

Decline Of Participation In Religious Rituals With Improved Sanitation

Answer me this. Earl at the end of the bar, on his sixth or seventh, tells listeners just what's wrong with America's science policy. His words receive knowing nods from…

Philosophy Statistics

Comments On Dawid’s Prequential Probability

Phil Dawid is a brilliant mathematical statistician who introduced (in 1984) the theory of prequential probability1 to describe a new-ish way of doing statistics. We ought to understand this theory.…

Philosophy Statistics

Explanation Vs Prediction

Introduction There isn't as much space between explanation and prediction as you'd think; both are had from the same elements of the problem at hand. Here's how it all works.…

Statistics

Missing Global Warming Close To A Solution?

I can't tell you where I obtained a photocopy of the note below. I can tell you that I am in Washington DC (at the lovely and recommended Morrison Clark…

Statistics

There Is No Difference Between A Forecast, A Scenario, or A Projection

This is a tad incoherent, but the gist is here. I had the opportunity of submitting an abstract to the AGU fall meeting, and had only a couple of hours…

hudbwu on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 18, 2026
True worlds of wisdom. Some years ago, I bonded with a fellow online when we discovered we both don't rush…
Uncle Mike on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 18, 2026
“Belief clings, but faith lets go.” - Alan W. Watts, The Wisdom of Insecurity: A Message for an Age of…
Brian (bulaoren) on Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study SeriouslyFebruary 18, 2026
I'm still wondering if that Tucson AZ. sheriff checked the glove for long covid.
Tars Tarkas on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 18, 2026
People hold more than one kind of belief (more than the two I am mentioning). There are beliefs that are…
NLR on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 18, 2026
"You do not have to believe. You can stay at uncertainty" That is a good point. With regards to the…