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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Frequentists Are Closet Bayesians: Confidence Interval Edition

Actually, all frequentists and Bayesians are logical probabilists, but if I put that in the title, few would believe it. A man might call himself an Anti-Gravitational Theorist, a science…
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Posted inStatistics

William M. Briggs Sez: Keep That Impressive Middle Initial

You can take it from William M. Briggs, and also from the Today show: sporting a middle initial is a mark of sophistication, intelligence, and rugged manliness---or womanliness, as the…
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Posted inStatistics

Researchers: Calling Girls Fat Makes Them Fat

Whatever you do, don't call somebody a "researcher". It could condemn them to a nasty, brutish, and short-tempered life. The kind where most of their time is spent scrambling for…
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Posted inStatistics

Time Series And Causality: Global Warming Example

Temperature causes Here is an atmospheric monthly average temperature series: T = (61, 69, 69, 70, 72, 65, 63) (all F). What caused the temperature to take the value T1…
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Posted inStatistics

Time Series Aren’t Easy: Tornado Deaths Example

Time series are the most abused statistics in the physical sciences. (It's an endless, raucous, peer-reviewed contest for the worst in the "soft sciences.") The Mann problem (is that a…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Physical Probability Doesn’t Exist

There have been many attempts to tie probability to physical chance. Here, briefly and for discussion, is why I think all of them fail. Ontology does not recapitulate epistemology Let…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

A New Possible Solution Of Fermi’s Paradox

What is the probability the following proposition is true? ``There are rational beings other than humans in the universe." Well, given the evidence of angels, who are rational non-human beings,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Correlation Implies Causation

A version of this post originally appeared on 20 October 2012. But after a Twitter conversation with our friend @Neuro_Skeptic, it's time for an addition. Comes a Salon article entitled…
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  1. Chad W Jessup on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026

    Sadly, Briggs is spot on overall, but the women he refers to do not represent the tough farm/ranch gals.

  2. shawn marshall on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026

    c-marie = are you quoting something?

  3. C-Marie on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026

    Perhaps think on this: God is extremely angry with the killings and mass murders of the unborn and just born…

  4. Carlos Julio Casanova Guerra on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026

    William: I tried to find a way contact you other than the comments section, but didn't find one: sorry if…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026

    My wife is the only sane, rational, conservative woman I know. Her sisters and nieces and their female friends are…

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