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Posted inStatistics

On The Uselessness Of Lie Detector (And Medical) Screenings, And The Ames Spy Case

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xr8BUxVRwFY This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Have you seen the television series The Assets? Dramatization of the Sandy Grimes-Jeanne…
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Posted inStatistics

How’d We Do On Our 2014 Predictions?

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Time to tally. As has become our tradition, each New Year's Eve we see…
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Posted inStatistics

Monty Hall And This Video Prove Probability Is Measure Of Truth

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C5-I0bAuEUE This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. This post is really an excuse to highlight a cute video that's being…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Improper Language About Priors

Suppose you decided (almost surely by some ad hoc rule) that the uncertainty in some thing (call it y) is best quantified by a normal distribution with central parameter θ…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

I Also Declare The Bayesian vs. Frequentist Debate Over For Data Scientists

I stole the title, adding the word "also", from an article by Rafael Irizarry at Simply Stats (tweeted by Diego Kuonen). First, brush clearing. Data scientists. Sounds like galloping bureaucratic…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Podcast Statistics

Podcast: Peer Review, Bob & Ray Do Statistics, Academic Calls For Killing Of (Post-Birth) Babies

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_12dec2014_0006.mp3[/podcast] Show Notes Wired's PubPeer article. PubPeer.com itself. PubPeer's discussion of "Macroscopic Observability of Spinorial Sign Changes under 2π Rotations". Bob and Ray can be found at, inter alia, the…
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Posted inStatistics

On The Attribution Of A Single Event To Climate Change

Rained yesterday here in the city of cities. Must be because of climate change, right? Hey. The climate did change and it did rain. What more evidence do you want?…
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Posted inStatistics

The Philosophy Of Rock Paper Scissors

Way my dad and I used to play is that when somebody won they got to grab the hand of the loser and then, with the fore- and middle-fingers only,…
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  1. Tars Tarkas on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 23, 2026

    "And who better to help relay the urgency of climate change than sex workers? “ I hate the widespread use…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 23, 2026

    Some people don't know the difference between "an oracle" and "an orifice".

  3. McChuck on Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer ReviewSeptember 22, 2026

    I have never seen a better example of why women should not be educated beyond the very basics necessary for…

  4. Cary Cotterman on Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer ReviewSeptember 21, 2026

    Every time I think I've read about an academic paper at the very bottom of the abyss of idiocy, another…

  5. Tars Tarkas on Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer ReviewSeptember 21, 2026

    "articulating that the checkboxes presume a reviewer who is an objective, disembodied expert untouched by power. " They aren't wrong…

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