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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

The Philosophy Of Rock Paper Scissors

Way my dad and I used to play is that when somebody won they got to grab the hand of the loser and then, with the fore- and middle-fingers only,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Infinite Surprise And Impossible Events

It's a lazy Saturday, so some musings today on entropy and information and probability. It's about time we started tying these things together. Things like the following are heard: "Given…
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Posted inStatistics

Uncertainty Is An Impossible Sell

I've never seen the show, but I've heard that the protagonist on the X Files used to have a desk sign which read, "I want to believe." That sentiment characterizes…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

The Moral Case For Fossil Fuels Reviewed

People first Just in time for the Federally-Recognized-Holiday-Of-25-December-That-Shall-Go-Unnamed we have a suitable gift for science deniers everywhere. Alex Epstein's The Moral Case For Fossil Fuels Science deniers? Yes, sir. Those…
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Posted inStatistics

Can We Predict The Unpredictable?

The most intriguing thing about the new peer-reviewed paper of the same name as today's post in Nature: Scientific Reports by Abbas Golestani and Robin Gras is that it is…
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Posted inStatistics

Climate Change Causing Short Peruvians!

Who remembers those crank scientists who wanted to genetically engineer human beings so that they would be sprier and narrower and thus have smaller "carbon footprints"? We don't need 'em!…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Don’t Use Statistics Unless You Have To

We're finally getting it, as evinced by the responses to the article "Netherlands Temperature Controversy: Or, Yet Again, How Not To Do Time Series." Let's return to the Screaming Willies.…
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Posted inStatistics

On That New “Gay Gene” Study

First and most important point: there is no way we're going to cover in 750 words the whole of this field. Much will be left out. This small article is…
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  1. Barry Grant on Class 95: Answering P-Value Good Uses ChallengesSeptember 26, 2026

    I don't know if this is a good use of p-values, but it is definitely a use, one that seems…

  2. John Pate on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 24, 2026

    Until we get back to burning heretics at the stake I don't see any solution to this kind of behaviour.

  3. John Pate on Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer ReviewSeptember 24, 2026

    Private companies still run enormous R&D labs but they're funded by black budget "defence" appropriations doing the Devil's work. They…

  4. Cary Cotterman on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 24, 2026

    Brosch and his ilk don't know squat about "scientific facts". They deal in pseudoscientific nonsense.

  5. McChuck on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 24, 2026

    I refuse, on general principles, to use the Left's Newspeak. She is a whore, or prostitute if we're being polite.…

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