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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Exposure To Fracking Reduces Low-Birth-Weight Babies

Shouldn't a peer-reviewed paper which purports to tie chemicals produced in the manufacture of natural gas (fracking etc.) to birth defects actually measure exposure (of fetus carriers, i.e. "mothers") to…
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Posted inStatistics

We Know The Climate Is Warming Because It Isn’t

What do you call the mental process which allows a man to say "What's firmly established is that the climate is warming" while also holding that "There's been a burst…
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Posted inStatistics

Scared Scientists! Climate Terror!

Picture this The heck with evidence: it's how much you care that counts. That sentiment is what's behind Nick Bowers's new Scared Scientists project. Motto: "Nobody is safe"! The far-left…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Global Warming Non-Expert Expert

Reporteritis is the disease, or rather psychiatric condition, common among journalists, brought on by exposure to important people and events. The exposure causes the journalist to feel that he too…
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Posted inStatistics

Ask A Scientific Ethicist: Baby Making, Auto Mishap, ISIS Attacks

This was supposed to run this morning. No idea why it didn't. This week, three letters from concerned readers. Too many babies Dear Scientific Ethicist, Hopefully this subject matter isn't…
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Posted inStatistics

It Makes No Sense To Say You’re More Likely To Die Of Bee Sting Than Shark Bite

The National Journal says: "The odds of being killed by a shark are about 1 in 3.7 million. The odds of being killed by a sting from a bee, wasp,…
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Posted inStatistics

Decline Of Participation In Religious Rituals With Improved Sanitation

Answer me this. Earl at the end of the bar, on his sixth or seventh, tells listeners just what's wrong with America's science policy. His words receive knowing nods from…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Comments On Dawid’s Prequential Probability

Phil Dawid is a brilliant mathematical statistician who introduced (in 1984) the theory of prequential probability1 to describe a new-ish way of doing statistics. We ought to understand this theory.…
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  1. Briggs on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 10, 2026

    JH, You are very rare. A lot of teachers are strict. Of course, we are all constrained by Nature's Author…

  2. John Pate on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 9, 2026

    Even the most die hard London School fundamentalist (like me) would acknowledge the many problems with IQ tests but you're…

  3. JH on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 9, 2026

    The right answer to any and all questions much always include this: the mind of the author of the questions.…

  4. C-Marie on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 8, 2026

    Very fun, Matt!! God bless, C-Marie

  5. Philip Rogan on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 8, 2026

    May be showing my lack of IQ: 2 + 2 = 4; 4 x 2 = 8. 5 + 5…

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