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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part IV

Read Part I, II, III. We are nearly at the point where we can say something about the candidate proposition of interest: "Treatment cures cancer of the albondigas." It is…
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Posted inStatistics

Confirmation Bias Happens To The Other Guy

Yet another entry in a long and endless series of experiments which show people often see what they want. Twist in this new one is that people who aren't too…
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Posted inStatistics

Use The Wrong P-value, Go To Jail: Not A Joke: Updated With Amicus Brief

Today's lesson: If the government wants you bad enough, it will get you. If that isn't already obvious, consider what befell W. Scott "Don't Call Me Baron" Harkonen. Just kidding…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part III

Read Part I, Part II first. All other propositions are contingent. For example, it is not necessarily true that your treatment should be a cure for cancer of the albondigas…
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Posted inStatistics

The Case of the Missing Global Warming: A 17th Precinct Mini Mystery

This originally ran four years ago on 21 September 2009. One or two minor details have been changed to make the post current. Update: I see I screwed up the…
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Posted inStatistics

Summary Of Statistical Evidence Against Global Warming

This is from my Classic Posts page, but seems appropriate to highlight in the wake of the latest gloom and doom from the IPCC. If you're looking for just one…
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Posted inStatistics

How The 95% IPCC Certainty Falls To The Ground

Busy times at the Briggs ranch. The Evidence series will continue next week. For now, some IPCC fun. The Consensus says its 95% sure that the man has caused the…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Armed EPA Ignores Subpoena, Conducts Secret Science, More!

Call the EPA's rule-making Nancy-Pelosi science: you must first pass the regulations before you find out the evidence for them. No: That's not quite right. Because even after its regulations…
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    Presumably if the tea and milk are mixed up sufficiently she couldn't tell from the taste or texture. So I'm…

  2. Gespenst on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldJuly 31, 2025

    Perhaps one can do no better than to say, "Miss Grundworthy was presented with n cups of tea with the…

  3. polybius on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 31, 2025

    If I were God the word would not be as it is The world is as it is therefore I…

  4. Briggs on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 31, 2025

    Steve, Not only do I admit it, I insist on it, and say so above. Cathoics/Orthodox are largely educated in…

  5. Steve on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 30, 2025

    @Briggs, "Many say various oaths and whatnot, but looking at their behavior it’s clear most have no idea what these…

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