Statistics – Page 205 – William M. Briggs

The Probability Of A Bottle Broken Into N Pieces When Struck By A Hammer

Logic is the study of relationships between propositions, and probability, which is the same, is thus the completion of logic to instances where the relationships are not certain. From this…

Statistics

Betting Begins On Next Official “Orientation” Letter

I started this before I learned of Facebook's 50+ "gender" identities. But because our government will surely involve itself, what is below still has force. What will be the next…

Philosophy Statistics

The Epistemology Of Miracles: Fulton J. Sheen Edition, Part II

Read Part I. We haven't made use of our time machine in Jesus's case. So I ask you, is it possible that if we go far enough into the future,…

Philosophy Statistics

The Epistemology Of Miracles: Fulton J. Sheen Edition, Part I

Let's you and me see if we can figure out what caused little Jimmy Engstrom to crawl back from the brink of death. I'm not a physician and I'm assuming…

Fun Statistics

WMBriggs.com Now A Violence Site

A reader at The Robert Gordon University in Scotland tried to access my site from campus and received this message. Now, presuming this is not a mistake, I am very…

Statistics

How The IPCC Buried Evidence Showing Good News About Global Warming

Here is the Executive Summary from our friends Marcel Crok and Nicholas Lewis in their report A Sensitive Matter which is available at the Global Warming Policy Foundation (preprinted by…

Philosophy Statistics

What Are The Chances Of That?

Go ahead and ask me. I'll even pretend to laugh. Just as I chuckle warmly with you when you quote Mark Twain (or Disraeli) abut damned lies. (Secretly, I'll be…

Culture Fun Statistics

Best Picture Oscar Winner: Model Prediction

For several years I have been predicting (with perfect accuracy) the best picture Oscar. (See this and this for past years.) The "model" pick for this year is Captain Phillips.…

Rudolph Harrier on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026
I've started thinking of this as the "juice loosener problem" (after the Simpsons bit where Dr. Nick hawks an orange…
Cary D Cotterman on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026
After spending years in school doing my own writing, then decades in my profession busting my ass to write somewhere…
Uncle Mike on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026
AI isn't the entity smoothing the data. The alleged decline in Arctic sea ice was a key assertion in Algore's…
JH on A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?March 10, 2026
The definition of cause can vary, and each incident may have its causes or contributing factors. I see coincidences as…
JH on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026
AI can be ‘gullible’ because it takes all the information fed into its optimization or backpropagation system. In many tasks,…