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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Live From Heartland Climate Conference, Day Two

What happened to Day One? If I find out, you'll be the first to know. Through the extreme generosity of one of us, I'm here in Las Vegas at Heartland's…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Evolution Under Fixed Constraints; Or, Why Random Changes Don’t Cut It

See if this analogy makes sense. A ramp onto which you loose a ball, which can roll down and fall into one of three slots. The configuration is such that…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Do You Believe In Global Warming Because Of The Seriousness Of The Charges?

An activist tells you, "Based on my theory of rampant, out-of-control global warming, otters, driven mad by the heat, will take to the streets and destroy mankind, just like apes…
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Posted inStatistics

Class Report: How Not To Teach Statistics

It's over. Two solid weeks of 9 to 5 to 9 and beyond statistics. Plus a few cocktails and cookouts and camaraderie. I'm exhausted. The students are mostly later early…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Casual Sex Is Good for You, Says New Biased Study

In a ridiculously biased "study", a researcher has shown that some college students who self-select to participate in a study of "causal" sex and who say they like having "casual"…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probabilities Aren’t Decisions

The title says it all. But its presence implies, and it is true, that people often mistake the two. If you decide to bet fifty bucks the USA beats Germany,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Biggest Error In Regression

I know, I know: we're sick to death of regression, but we have to cover the biggest error, which is how the Deadly Sin of Reification happens. You have a…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Free Will The Result Of ‘Background Noise’?

Once again the lack of metaphysical training has led some scientists to say an incredibly silly thing. That free will "could be the result of 'background noise' in the brain."…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Do Dogs Poop In Alignment With The Earth’s Magnetic Field?September 3, 2026

    Well, a lot of current research product orients toward the left.

  2. McChuck on Do Dogs Poop In Alignment With The Earth’s Magnetic Field?September 3, 2026

    Perhaps the dogs prefer not to stare into the morning and evening sun? How does one measure the "calmness" of…

  3. JohnK on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 2, 2026

    I liked the "zinc" metaphor very much. I really appreciate the pains you took on this piece, Matt, which are…

  4. shawn marshall on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 1, 2026

    Let me say something stupid cuz I'm not vey bright - to me it is an indication of the Existence…

  5. Carlos Julio Casanova Guerra on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 1, 2026

    I was hoping you wrote about race, because I wanted to hand you a quote, since long ago, but I…

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