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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

There Is Only One Kind Of Probability: An Answer To Senn; Part II

Read Part I. Some of this material is explained in detail in this series. Just after the introduction, Senn starts his argument by claiming an "important distinction between two types…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bayes Is More Than Probably Right: An Answer To Senn; Part I

Stephen Senn very kindly answered a post I wrote on p-values (Unsignificant Statistics: Or Die P-Value, Die Die Die) by sending me his "You May Believe You Are a Bayesian…
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Posted inStatistics

Cornell Teaching Sojourn: Probability, Stats, & R

Time for the annual migration to Ithaca via a well accoutered golden coach (complete with undergraduates feeding professors grapes grown at Cornell's orchards). There I will linger for two weeks,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Tobacco Ads Could Lead To Cancer Cure

Today's headline is true. True means that which is certain, without the possibility of error; that which is not false; that which accords with reality. It means that which is…
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Posted inStatistics

Unsignificant Statistics: Or Die P-Value, Die Die Die

Must...resist...quoting... from Stephen Ziliak's gorgeous invective "Unsignificant Statistics" (where I stole today's title) in the Financial Post. Well, just a little (all emphasis mine and joyfully placed): Statistical significance is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Scientists Discover Way To Increase Publication Count

Anybody who has spent any time in a university library amidst the papers of his specialty knows that the absolute last thing which is needed is more of them. Journals…
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Posted inStatistics

Krauthammer’s Wrong: NSA Spying Not Equivalent To Policing

Charles Krauthammer ought to be taken seriously. He said yesterday from his daily perch that he wasn't concerned about NSA spying on Americans because there hasn't been any or many…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

You Do Too Have Something To Hide

"Let them look at my phone records. I have nothing to hide. They can read all my emails. There's nothing there worth reading." We hear this primarily from the young,…
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  1. Briggs on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    Cary, You have read incompletely. God is a necessary being, else there could be no world. That is the classical…

  2. Cary Cotterman on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    "I, a man of 10,000, 5,000, or 2,000 years ago, cannot see how the world functions, therefore I posit (invent)…

  3. Steve on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    OK, but, for example, what denominations forget God is the First Cause? Most of the high church denominations say every…

  4. Brad Tittle on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    My point of view is always wrong. Everyone elses point of view is always correct in their reference frame. How…

  5. Chaeremon on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    evolution possesses a [divine, what else] intelligence through which instinct and subsequently [evolutionary! what else] rationality ar|wer|e invented.

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