Posted inStatistics
Confirmation Bias Happens To The Other Guy
Yet another entry in a long and endless series of experiments which show people often see what they want. Twist in this new one is that people who aren't too…
Posted inStatistics
Use The Wrong P-value, Go To Jail: Not A Joke: Updated With Amicus Brief
Today's lesson: If the government wants you bad enough, it will get you. If that isn't already obvious, consider what befell W. Scott "Don't Call Me Baron" Harkonen. Just kidding…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
On The Evidence From Experiments: Part III
Read Part I, Part II first. All other propositions are contingent. For example, it is not necessarily true that your treatment should be a cure for cancer of the albondigas…
Posted inStatistics
The Case of the Missing Global Warming: A 17th Precinct Mini Mystery
This originally ran four years ago on 21 September 2009. One or two minor details have been changed to make the post current. Update: I see I screwed up the…
Posted inStatistics
Summary Of Statistical Evidence Against Global Warming
This is from my Classic Posts page, but seems appropriate to highlight in the wake of the latest gloom and doom from the IPCC. If you're looking for just one…
Posted inStatistics
How The 95% IPCC Certainty Falls To The Ground
Busy times at the Briggs ranch. The Evidence series will continue next week. For now, some IPCC fun. The Consensus says its 95% sure that the man has caused the…
Posted inCulture Statistics
Armed EPA Ignores Subpoena, Conducts Secret Science, More!
Call the EPA's rule-making Nancy-Pelosi science: you must first pass the regulations before you find out the evidence for them. No: That's not quite right. Because even after its regulations…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
On The Evidence From Experiments: Part II
Read Part I first. Outcome 3. This sound like good news for you, since all treatment Bobs got better and no placebo Bobs did. Congratulations! The treatment might have caused…