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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Regression To The Mean (And Performance Curses) Simply Explained

I've just read about The Second Term Curse which supposedly besets (of course) second-term presidents. There is also the infamous Sports Illustrated Curse, which is said to befall athletes soon…
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Posted inStatistics

Sam Harris Asks, “Can Science Answer Moral Questions?” No, Sam, It Cannot

I was having a back-and-forth on Twitter with Craig Mazin ‏(@clmazin) about Sam Harris's claim that morality is a scientific and not a metaphysical question. As evidence, Mazin pointed me…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Horrors And Hurt Feelings Of Profiling

"Ver are your papers!" "Um. Hang on. I'm sure I have them on me. Wait. Here," said the man, handing them over. The clerk examined them closely. He arched his…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Life Isn’t Fair: Part III

We are at the position where somebody thinks a rule, law, or stricture, or the lack of the same, is fair or unfair. The justification for this belief must (eventually)…
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Posted inStatistics

Supreme Court And Proposition 8: A Few Thoughts

One of the more curious tidbits to arise out of yesterday's oral arguments (pdf) over California's Prop 8 was that that state's constitution has been amended some 500 times. Those…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Regnerus Controversy: Children In Traditional Families Do Better Than Those Raised In Non-Traditional Settings

Originally published 24 July 2012. No changes have been made, though I'm sorely tempted to comment on the weeds descending from Regnerus's chin. Doubtless the nastiest phenomenon in nature is…
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Posted inStatistics

A New Row Over Pregnancy Caused by Rape

Today's post is at Crisis Magazine. Why are the following questions political? How often do raped women become pregnant because of the rape? How often do (non-raped) women become pregnant…
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Posted inStatistics

Homeopathic Blog Post

                   
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  1. Pk on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    The Gravity ride was introduced in 2015. What is the age of consent for an amusement park ride?

  2. Rich on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    I'm presuming that "centrifugal logic" is reasoning that flees from sense.

  3. shawn marshall on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    all I can say is "Oh my" Romans 1: 16-32 I think

  4. Johnno on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 9, 2025

    Facts and logic are very diverse things. As diverse as peoples, with diverse facts and diverse ways of logicking. Liberal…

  5. Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 9, 2025

    Thank you for your answer, Professor. So the prediction interval is useful for predicting the number of failures among the…

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