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William M. Briggs

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Posted inFun Statistics

Scientists Discover Women Who Lick Their Lips Are Judged More Attractive By College Men

Hot or Not? First the good news. It's completely unrelated to what follows, but it is good news. Scientists say "Aliens 'wouldn't want to eat or enslave us' says ET-hunting…
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Posted inStatistics

Believers Less Vindictive Than Godless Atheists: New Research

Vengeance Is Mine The actual title of the Live Science press release was "Believers Leave Punishment to Powerful God," a story which opens with the memorable words: Believing in an…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Interest In On-Line Statistics Courses?

You might have heard what happened to when Stanford professor Andrew Ng put his machine learning (a practical kind of statistical modeling) on line. He expected mild interest. One hundred…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Scientific Truths Are Not Better Truths Than Just-Plain Truths

One of the key fallacies of scientism, in the sense of being the most destructive to common sense and personal wellbeing, is to suppose that any theory put forth in…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

What Organic Boors, Swedish Pronouns, And The Exorcist Have In Common

Not much, except to demonstrate that the natural state of modernity is something closely resembling mass lunacy. To explain. Swedish Pronouns Via Sam Schulman ‏(Twitter: @Sam_Schulman) we infer that 1984…
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Posted inStatistics

How To Present Anything As Significant. Update: Nature Weighs In

Update The paper on which this post was based has hit the presses which was used as an occasion for Nature to opine that, just maybe, that some of the…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Probability Of Nonsense In Science: Complexity & Verification

This is a work in progress, and today is a busy day. This is just for fun and for you to play with. The more complex the field of study,…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Sleeping Beauty Probability Problem

Update This has been moved up from its original 29 Feb 2012 date on 23 March 2012 to allow additional comments. Update This has been moved up from its original…
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  1. hudbwu on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJuly 1, 2025

    The wrinkle is in the (pseudo-)random number generator. In principle, the random number generator can be hijacked by a higher…

  2. hudbwu on On The Probability Of GodJuly 1, 2025

    I don't think omnibenevolence is part of the definition of God. Not only because, as you stated, there is nothing…

  3. hudbwu on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJuly 1, 2025

    > It is a characteristic of the breed—on average: we speak in generalities here—that in any argument women do not…

  4. Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.

  5. spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…

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