# Category: Statistics

The general theory, methods, and philosophy of the Science of Guessing What Is.

## Are Tree Rings Low Pass Temperature Filters?

I don’t know the answer to this question: I am not an expert in this area, and I haven’t the time or resources to track down the data to discover the answer. […]

## Will The Religious Out-Breed Us All?

Thanks to long-time reader and contributer Ari Schwartz for bringing this to our attention. “It is widely agreed that religion has biological foundations—that belief in the supernatural, obedience to authority or susceptibility […]

## The Similarities Between Psychics And Global Warming Activists

The statistical evidence series will continue after the weekend. “I see the letter G.” The woman closed her eyes, cocked her head, and looked inwardly. She became grave, tense. “There’s…wait a second…it’s […]

## Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part III

To clarify: to prove false means to demonstrate a valid argument with a certain conclusion. If a theory/model says an event is merely unlikely—make it as unlikely as you like, as long […]

## Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part II

I hope all understand that we are not just discussing statistics and probability models: what is true here is true for all theories/models (mathematics, physics, chemistry, climate, etc.). Read Part I. Suppose […]

## Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part I

These next posts are in the way of being notes to myself. Logic is the study of the relation between statements. For example, if “All green men are irascible, and Bob is […]

## Job Wanted: Tall Statistician Seeks Match

I am hoping that among my faithful readers there is somebody that knows somebody who might know a guy who’s looking for a statistician. The economy is such that consulting opportunities are […]

## What Scientific Concept Would Improve Everybody’s Cognitive Toolkit? Edge

Long-time reader Randy Brich reminds us all to head over to Edge.org and read the responses to the 2011 World Question given in the title. It will be worth your time to […]