Statistics – Page 239 – William M. Briggs

The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part IV (finally the end!)

Read Part I, Part II, Part III. This is the missing Part, which was promised a year ago. We're all tired of this subject, and there are so many other…

Philosophy Statistics

The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part III (update)

Read Part I, Part II. The text has again been expanded and corrected. We have our model in hand. "Has the ability", our model, says (see Part II) that the…

Philosophy Statistics

The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part II (update)

Read Part I: Again, the text (up to this part) has been corrected and expanded. Recall our overarching---our only---goal. We want to know whether the sweet old lady "has the…

Philosophy Statistics

The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part I (updated)

Since the subject arose yesterday, and for other reasons which I'll explain later, I thought we should revisit this series, which ran a year ago. I have edited and expanded…

Statistics

Dawkins On The Double-Blind Experiment

The Edge every year asks top science celebrities a penetrating, yet fun, always fun, question. Last year's was "What scientific concept would improve everybody's cognitive toolkit?" One of the correspondent…

Philosophy Statistics

Statement Of Teaching Philosophy

Regular readers will know that I have been searching for (continuous) employment as a teacher. Most colleges and universities ask applicants to supply "a statement of teaching philosophy", while a…

Philosophy Statistics

The Jeffreys-Lindley Paradox Isn’t

Background A paradox is a mistake in thinking; an artificial, human creation which usually arises because a conclusion which follows from a set of beloved premises is itself unloved. Twitter…

Culture Fun Statistics

Oscar Predictions: Money, Men, & Maturity Make The Difference

Last year, my number two son1 and I created a model to predict the Oscar winning movie (the original post, and the follow up). We found the following characteristics most…

JH on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionAugust 1, 2025
But... all human expressions about God are generally made under the premise of "if I were God." lol
NLR on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldJuly 31, 2025
Presumably if the tea and milk are mixed up sufficiently she couldn't tell from the taste or texture. So I'm…
Gespenst on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldJuly 31, 2025
Perhaps one can do no better than to say, "Miss Grundworthy was presented with n cups of tea with the…
polybius on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 31, 2025
If I were God the word would not be as it is The world is as it is therefore I…
Briggs on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 31, 2025
Steve, Not only do I admit it, I insist on it, and say so above. Cathoics/Orthodox are largely educated in…