Statistics – Page 242 – William M. Briggs

The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part II (update)

Read Part I: Again, the text (up to this part) has been corrected and expanded. Recall our overarching---our only---goal. We want to know whether the sweet old lady "has the…

Philosophy Statistics

The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part I (updated)

Since the subject arose yesterday, and for other reasons which I'll explain later, I thought we should revisit this series, which ran a year ago. I have edited and expanded…

Statistics

Dawkins On The Double-Blind Experiment

The Edge every year asks top science celebrities a penetrating, yet fun, always fun, question. Last year's was "What scientific concept would improve everybody's cognitive toolkit?" One of the correspondent…

Philosophy Statistics

Statement Of Teaching Philosophy

Regular readers will know that I have been searching for (continuous) employment as a teacher. Most colleges and universities ask applicants to supply "a statement of teaching philosophy", while a…

Philosophy Statistics

The Jeffreys-Lindley Paradox Isn’t

Background A paradox is a mistake in thinking; an artificial, human creation which usually arises because a conclusion which follows from a set of beloved premises is itself unloved. Twitter…

Culture Fun Statistics

Oscar Predictions: Money, Men, & Maturity Make The Difference

Last year, my number two son1 and I created a model to predict the Oscar winning movie (the original post, and the follow up). We found the following characteristics most…

Fun Statistics

Scratch-off Lottery Tickets: Expected Payouts, A Hidden Benefit?

Update See the comments, but thanks to readers' arguments I believe I was wrong in an essential calculation. I've reworked the text to correct my error, which was small in…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is Cause? — Guest Post by DAV

Regular readers will recognize DAV as a regular contributer whose humorous voice of reason has kept many conversations on target. Today he presents ideas to spur a discussion of causality,…

Lucy Tucker on The False Expectation Of PermanenceSeptember 9, 2025
“ t I propose it is mostly because we're so short-lived that we cannot comprehend or abide environmental change. "The…
Cary Cotterman on The False Expectation Of PermanenceSeptember 9, 2025
Most people seem to be unaware that the Earth has had many radical climate changes. They have no idea that…
Uncle Mike on The False Expectation Of PermanenceSeptember 9, 2025
J'accuse. Point the bony finger. Lay the blame. In the Good Book it is Lucifer who incriminates: Then I heard…
Eyrie on Astonishing Climate Change Predictions!September 8, 2025
In 1978, John Gribbin with a co-author wrote "The Sixth Winter" an SF novel about the start of a new…
Cary Cotterman on Astonishing Climate Change Predictions!September 8, 2025
I remember when Kukla was a puppet on a kiddie tv show. He has about as much credibility as that…