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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Conservatives Produced By “Low Effort” Thinking: Study

If there is one subject which fascinates academics more than any other, it is why are they so smart and the rest of the populace not. Although there is no…
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Posted inStatistics

Breast Cancer Screening Ruins Lives?

Today's title is from the Daily Mail: "The expert branded a woman hater for saying breast cancer screening ruins lives." What could be more sensible than having a mammogram? If…
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Posted inStatistics

Steve Zwick Says Burn The Deniers (Metaphorically)!

There is a scene in Woody Allen's Radio Days in which we see a diminutive old man from Rockaway Beach who, one day, snaps and runs out of his house…
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Posted inStatistics

Brain Atrophy Responsible For Religious Belief?

Readers can help me choose the best metaphor. (1) A snowball which starts the size of a pea but gains in strength and speed as it rolls downhill, mindlessly consuming…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Wearing A New Hat At JP Research

I am now a member of JP Research. What does this mean to you, my loyal readers? Little, except that my contact information for consulting has changed. New telephone and…
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Posted inStatistics

Don’t Drive On Tax Day! You Might Die

This is it. The day to traipse to the post office and mail in your income tax papers. In farm lingo, this is the time swill the pigs. To feed…
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Posted inStatistics

Obama Doesn’t Have A Chance

I have returned from a week away from the computer. Announcements to follow tomorrow. I am going to tell you of several conversations in which I took part over the…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Part III

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Parts I, II, III, IV Race, whether or not it can be successfully defined biologically, is clearly important. People, even the non-sincere, at least act…
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  1. Rich on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    I'm presuming that "centrifugal logic" is reasoning that flees from sense.

  2. shawn marshall on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    all I can say is "Oh my" Romans 1: 16-32 I think

  3. Johnno on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 9, 2025

    Facts and logic are very diverse things. As diverse as peoples, with diverse facts and diverse ways of logicking. Liberal…

  4. Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 9, 2025

    Thank you for your answer, Professor. So the prediction interval is useful for predicting the number of failures among the…

  5. Briggs on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025

    Darin, There is no interval around a probability (with esoteric exceptions not of interest to us). All your evidence is…

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