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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Statement Of Teaching Philosophy

Regular readers will know that I have been searching for (continuous) employment as a teacher. Most colleges and universities ask applicants to supply "a statement of teaching philosophy", while a…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Jeffreys-Lindley Paradox Isn’t

Background A paradox is a mistake in thinking; an artificial, human creation which usually arises because a conclusion which follows from a set of beloved premises is itself unloved. Twitter…
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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

Oscar Predictions: Money, Men, & Maturity Make The Difference

Last year, my number two son1 and I created a model to predict the Oscar winning movie (the original post, and the follow up). We found the following characteristics most…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Scratch-off Lottery Tickets: Expected Payouts, A Hidden Benefit?

Update See the comments, but thanks to readers' arguments I believe I was wrong in an essential calculation. I've reworked the text to correct my error, which was small in…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is Cause? — Guest Post by DAV

Regular readers will recognize DAV as a regular contributer whose humorous voice of reason has kept many conversations on target. Today he presents ideas to spur a discussion of causality,…
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Posted inStatistics

Last Night’s Republican Debate

Off in service today, so only a brief word. Debate results: Romney had an easy base hit to center field, Gingrich doubled but with no men on base, Santorum hit…
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Posted inStatistics

Heartlandgate Versus Climategate

There are some key differences between Climategate 1.0 and 2.0, where emails from scientists and their hangers on were leaked, and Heartlandgate (am I the first to use this appallingly…
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Posted inStatistics

Heartland Documents Leaked, Massaged, Faked

First thing I did, after hearing that the Heartland Institute's budget was leaked, was to pore through it looking for my name in the hopes of seeing how much moola…
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  1. Briggs on The Dysgenics Of IVFNovember 28, 2025

    Anne, Ah, Julian Savulescu. A known lunatic. Thanks.

  2. Anne Webb on The Dysgenics Of IVFNovember 28, 2025

    You should take a look at this, where one of the authors argues that we may have a moral obligation…

  3. passerby on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 27, 2025

    > Too many people know about these prophecies Fat lot of good that did for Cassandra, finest prophet ever.

  4. spaceranger on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 27, 2025

    The online world is our graven image and celebrity culture our false idol.

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of ThanksgivingNovember 27, 2025

    One thing I am always grateful for (well, 4 days a week) is being able to enjoy your posts. Thank…

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