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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Can fMRI Predict Who Believes In God? Part III

Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V, Part VI, Part VII It is finally time to describe the experiment itself. People were stuck inside an fMRI…
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Posted inStatistics

Can fMRI Predict Who Believes God? Part II

Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V, Part VI, Part VII I don't want to bore us, but it is crucial to read the team's explanation…
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Posted inStatistics

Can fMRI Predict Who Believes In God? Part I

Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V, Part VI, Part VII Did you know that "regions" of your brain "light up" when you think about Santa…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Top 10 Upsets In The NFL Over Last Decade

Today's post is over at Edgehogs. It's all self explanatory. Surf on over to comment. I'd write more, but my North Pole duties have me busier than average. Tip: Even…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Ten Politically Incorrect So-Called Truths About Human Nature: 6 – 10

See 1 - 5 here. 6. Beautiful people have more daughters And are thus more likely to divorce? And thus less likely to have fewer kids than the ugly people…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Top 10 Sure Things: Which NFL Games Were The Easiest To Pick?

Today's post is over at Edgehogs. I wanted to see how extreme bookies would go in making NFL picks, as judged by the probabilities of home-team wins as derived from…
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Posted inFun Statistics

How To Find True Love: The Marriage Problem

MEB + ARK, a.k.a. the Haystack Hunters, wrote the following: As fans of your work in real life probability and breaking the law of averages, we were hoping you could…
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Posted inStatistics

Hurricane Predictors Admit They Can’t Predict Hurricanes

My heart soared like a hawk1 after learning that Messieurs Philip Klotzbach and William Gray have admitted in print the hardest thing scientists can ever confess. That they were wrong.…
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  1. JRob on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 19, 2025

    The spurious correlation example is the best proof that p values can't be used. That's what you have to hammer…

  2. Glenn Ammons on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 19, 2025

    Thanks, this is a very understandable summary of your arguments against p-values and frequentism. There is a mistake in the…

  3. J. Johnson on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 18, 2025

    Well you convinced me to never use p-values, and how to articulate to others why they shouldn’t either. I’d say…

  4. Ed on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 18, 2025

    As a teacher who's seen, in the eyes of many a student (pun intended), the inglorious mist of complete misunderstanding,…

  5. Uncle Mike on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 18, 2025

    I disagree with your hypothesis that "my career has largely been a failure". You shouldn't expect the world to immediately…

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