Statistics – Page 250 – William M. Briggs

D.J. Keenan’s And My BEST Methodology Reviews

Doug Keenan was asked by The Economist to have a gander at the statistics developed by the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) project. He did so. We must resist extensive…

Statistics

Richard Muller Gives Permission To Be Climate Skeptic, Shows Why

Update See my review of the BEST methodology here. Physicist Richard Muller has a piece in today's Wall Street Journal that should be read by everyone (The Case Against Global-Warming…

Statistics

Your Belief In God Is Causing Your Denial Of AGW

Update Simon Donner has a blog post on this paper, which links back here. Since all comments are closed after 8 days (to battle spam), I'm moving this post to…

Philosophy Statistics

Legal Standards Of Proof And Probability

Different courts and legal systems use diverse phrases about evidentiary standards of proof1. Few to none are precise in the sense that they offer a fixed probability number for this…

Statistics

There Is No Such Thing As A Scientific Poll

There is no such thing as an unscientific one, either. A poll is this: a question or questions that are interpreted and answered by a group of individuals at a…

Statistics

Romney and Holdren Sittin’ In A Tree

Update: Somehow---I don't know how---the beginning of this piece has disappeared. I'll try to find it. Yeesh. Mitt Romeny, when Governor: Massachusetts continues to be committed to improving air quality…

Culture Statistics

British Judge Rules Against Bayes’s Theorem

A British judge has thrown a use of Bayes's rule out of his court. Not only that, his honor (Lordship?) ruled "against using similar statistical analysis in the courts in…

Culture Statistics

What Are The Chances Of War With China?

By the year 2012, or 2017, or 2022, what are the chances China's military engages US forces? Difficult question. But one which is better than asking the title question---because nobody…

NLR on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldJuly 31, 2025
Presumably if the tea and milk are mixed up sufficiently she couldn't tell from the taste or texture. So I'm…
Gespenst on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldJuly 31, 2025
Perhaps one can do no better than to say, "Miss Grundworthy was presented with n cups of tea with the…
polybius on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 31, 2025
If I were God the word would not be as it is The world is as it is therefore I…
Briggs on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 31, 2025
Steve, Not only do I admit it, I insist on it, and say so above. Cathoics/Orthodox are largely educated in…
Steve on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 30, 2025
@Briggs, "Many say various oaths and whatnot, but looking at their behavior it’s clear most have no idea what these…