Statistics – Page 252 – William M. Briggs

Differences In Brains Between Believers And Atheists?

The following question was posed at the (inaptly named) magazine Scientific American, "Is there a difference between the brain of an atheist and the brain of a religious person?" It…

Philosophy Statistics

Curtis’s The Science Of Subjectivity

An unfocused post today; just some notes on a paper. Busy day for me. Andrew Curtis wrote, "The science of subjectivity" in the January 2012 issue of the journal Geology…

Philosophy Statistics

What’s The Difference Between A Confidence Interval And A Credible Interval? Update

Twitter @ceptional reminded me of this post, which I had forgotten. Since it is highly relevant to The Great Bayesian Switch, I decided to repost. Some minor errors in grammar…

Culture Philosophy Statistics

The Great Bayesian Switch

Update: See this post on the definition of confidence and credible intervals. Submitted for your approval, a new paper. A polemic describing in nascent terms the paradise that awaits us…

Statistics

What A Prediction Is And What It Is Not: Part IV

There is a technical distinction between a scenario and a prediction, though the line is fine and often disputable. Many scenarios are merely intolerably loose, and therefore useless, predictions. The…

Philosophy Statistics

What A Prediction Is And What It Is Not: Part III

This inescapable fact, that the conditioning evidence is only assumed and is therefore subjectively defined, is responsible for much acrimony about accuracy. Thus the reason we attempt to eliminate wiggle…

Philosophy Statistics

What A Prediction Is And What It Is Not: Part II

Thanks to DAV for reminding me of a clarification. See yesterday's comments. This post is mostly bookkeeping. Tomorrow we do more examples. Sometimes, in contracts as in predictions, certain "unexpected…

Philosophy Statistics

What A Prediction Is And What It Is Not: Part I

I say that the Detroit Tigers, the baseball team---baseball being the most sublime of all sports, and this team being the game's most stalwart representative---will beat the Boston Red Sox…

Cary D Cotterman on The Michigan Gun Violence Prevention Task Force Is Wrong: “Guns” are not the leading cause of death in kidsDecember 2, 2025
My wife and I went to a Nordstrom department store last weekend. On the door was a prominent sign declaring…
Pete the Greek on The Michigan Gun Violence Prevention Task Force Is Wrong: “Guns” are not the leading cause of death in kidsDecember 2, 2025
It's hilarious how fast you get blocked by people on social media when you post factual stats and analytics like…
Johnno on The Michigan Gun Violence Prevention Task Force Is Wrong: “Guns” are not the leading cause of death in kidsDecember 2, 2025
This is all because of a severe marked decrease in kids being allowed to play with traditional bows and suction…
Johnno on The Perfect Conspiracy TheoryDecember 2, 2025
All celebrities owe their careers to the devil. But it's a subscription plan priced in human sacrifice. And like all…
Heresolong on The Michigan Gun Violence Prevention Task Force Is Wrong: “Guns” are not the leading cause of death in kidsDecember 2, 2025
Presumably drownings have gone down because the safety-crats have sued public pools out of existence in many parts of the…