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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Trolley Problem And Experimental Philosophy

The Trolley Problem, as given by Eric Schwitzgebel (as part of a larger survey): You are standing by the railroad tracks when you notice an empty boxcar rolling out of…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Wishcasting The End Of The World: Update

Wishcasting is when a forecast or prediction is shaded in the direction the forecaster or predictor wants the event to happen. For example, if you forecast this weekend's weather, you…
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Posted inStatistics

Can Telomeres Predict How Long You Will Live?

No, they can't. Not exactly, and perhaps not with sufficient precision to be useful to you. But there is a new company called Life Length who will sell you, for…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Belief In God “Rooted” In Human Nature Say Academics

New research has shown---and by "research" I mean a fact long known to citizens is revealed to academics who attach a p-value to it and publish it---"that suggests that religion…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Food Deserts: Millions Of Californians Starving Themselves Into Obesity

The blubber is flowing in California. So says that State's venerable University, Los Angeles division. It's an epidemic! Both excessive fatness "increased significantly in just six years". This isn't the…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

“I Can See The Future!”

The future begins tomorrow. This being so, it doesn't seem especially difficult to say what will happen in that uncertain land. Weathermen, and their noble sisters the weatherwomen, daily dispatch…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Do Americans Still Dislike Atheists?

The answer is: Americans hate atheists just as much as they hate theists. Residents of these grand United States had always disliked prigs of any stripe and are not shy…
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Posted inStatistics

The Non-Candidacy Of Donald Trump

2020 Update Thanks for DAV for reminding me of this. This post below shows how far you can go wrong, how idiotic you can be, when you, like I, follow…
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  1. Johnno on World Ends In 25 years! Towns Become Slaughterhouses! Peter Thiel Disguises Self As Sheep!August 30, 2025

    Well as NLR said, and others have echoed, whenever disaster ultimately comes, it comes to the most advanced places, namely…

  2. Briggs on Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is WeeAugust 28, 2025

    Willis, The same one you used in setting up the problem. After "millions of throws" (where the manner of the…

  3. Williis Eschenbach on Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is WeeAugust 28, 2025

    As always, William, good stuff. Say that I have a pair of dice. I suspect that they are loaded to…

  4. McChuck on The Right & Wrong Way To Do (Electromagnetic) Science: Interview With Hans G. SchantzAugust 28, 2025

    Briggs & Schantz - With a name like that, you two should go into business making small engines. But seriously,…

  5. Wm Arthurs on Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is WeeAugust 28, 2025

    Throwaway comments made by people who are confused about this sort of thing, gave me a clue to one of…

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