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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part I (updated)

Since the subject arose yesterday, and for other reasons which I'll explain later, I thought we should revisit this series, which ran a year ago. I have edited and expanded…
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Posted inStatistics

Dawkins On The Double-Blind Experiment

The Edge every year asks top science celebrities a penetrating, yet fun, always fun, question. Last year's was "What scientific concept would improve everybody's cognitive toolkit?" One of the correspondent…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Statement Of Teaching Philosophy

Regular readers will know that I have been searching for (continuous) employment as a teacher. Most colleges and universities ask applicants to supply "a statement of teaching philosophy", while a…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Jeffreys-Lindley Paradox Isn’t

Background A paradox is a mistake in thinking; an artificial, human creation which usually arises because a conclusion which follows from a set of beloved premises is itself unloved. Twitter…
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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

Oscar Predictions: Money, Men, & Maturity Make The Difference

Last year, my number two son1 and I created a model to predict the Oscar winning movie (the original post, and the follow up). We found the following characteristics most…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Scratch-off Lottery Tickets: Expected Payouts, A Hidden Benefit?

Update See the comments, but thanks to readers' arguments I believe I was wrong in an essential calculation. I've reworked the text to correct my error, which was small in…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is Cause? — Guest Post by DAV

Regular readers will recognize DAV as a regular contributer whose humorous voice of reason has kept many conversations on target. Today he presents ideas to spur a discussion of causality,…
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Posted inStatistics

Last Night’s Republican Debate

Off in service today, so only a brief word. Debate results: Romney had an easy base hit to center field, Gingrich doubled but with no men on base, Santorum hit…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Do Dogs Poop In Alignment With The Earth’s Magnetic Field?September 3, 2026

    The afterstory: three of the authors are now university presidents, and one is head of NSA.

  2. shawn marshall on Do Dogs Poop In Alignment With The Earth’s Magnetic Field?September 3, 2026

    for sure you have identified a scienterrific study full of dog poop

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Do Dogs Poop In Alignment With The Earth’s Magnetic Field?September 3, 2026

    Well, a lot of current research product orients toward the left.

  4. McChuck on Do Dogs Poop In Alignment With The Earth’s Magnetic Field?September 3, 2026

    Perhaps the dogs prefer not to stare into the morning and evening sun? How does one measure the "calmness" of…

  5. JohnK on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 2, 2026

    I liked the "zinc" metaphor very much. I really appreciate the pains you took on this piece, Matt, which are…

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