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Posted inStatistics

Two New Papers vs. BEST: Guest Post by Lüdecke, Link, and Ewert

Horst Lüdecke is a Professor of Physiker in EIKE, European Institute for Climate and Energy, Heidelberg; Dr. Link is a physicist with EIKE; Prof. Dr. Friedrich-Karl Ewert is a geologist…
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Posted inStatistics

BEST And The Wall Street Journal’s Numbers Guy

Carl Bialik, the Wall Street Journal's Numbers Guy, has two columns about BEST's temperature reconstruction model: "Global Temperatures: All Over the Map" and "A New Trove of Global Temperature Numbers").…
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Posted inStatistics

The Twinkie Defense Defended: Soda Pop And Violence In Teens

In 1979, Dan White1 was tried for the assassinations of San Francisco city district Supervisor Harvey Milk and Mayor George Moscone. His lawyers argued that he had diminished capacity and…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Counterfactuals And Woodchuck Probability Distributions

I have, with mechanical aid, again winged my way across the globe in search of treasure. I landed disoriented and would not trust myself to calculate even the integral of…
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Posted inFun Philosophy Statistics

Best Statistics Question Ever

Several readers have sent this one in1. One Raymond Johnson (or was it Ryan Grover?) said he found the following picture on this blackboard (I pulled my copy from Flowing…
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Posted inStatistics

BEST’s Worst Work; What Is Significant?

You will have already seen this comparison graph from the Daily Mail. That paper points out correctly that the version of the plot provided by BEST is presented in such…
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Posted inStatistics

A Case Of Failed Peer Review: Dust And Death

The distance between what civilians think peer review is and what it actually is suffers from the same failing as that evinced by Han Solo---rare pop culture reference!---when he boasted…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Feel Better? Antidepressant Use Rises 400%, White Women Top Lists

Pill popping for pleasure pushes past previous records. Or so says the CDC in their report Antidepressant Use in Persons Aged 12 and Over: United States, 2005–2008. "From 1988–1994 through…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    Logic, empiricism, wisdom... These solvents are without impact for people who have, so often, survived them. I believe this is…

  2. spetzer86 on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    It's interesting that the commenters using AI prove the point that the use of a model yielding apparently random results…

  3. JH on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    When brilliant minds join forces with advanced computers that execute tasks with precision and speed by following instructions, they achieve…

  4. fergus on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    Post script. Looks like you are hiding well, for now, from the AI in the sky. I asked it if…

  5. fergus on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    Did not read the article, just copy/pasted the number list to ChatGPT and it got right back with: Yes —…

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