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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Legal Standards Of Proof And Probability

Different courts and legal systems use diverse phrases about evidentiary standards of proof1. Few to none are precise in the sense that they offer a fixed probability number for this…
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Posted inStatistics

There Is No Such Thing As A Scientific Poll

There is no such thing as an unscientific one, either. A poll is this: a question or questions that are interpreted and answered by a group of individuals at a…
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Posted inStatistics

Romney and Holdren Sittin’ In A Tree

Update: Somehow---I don't know how---the beginning of this piece has disappeared. I'll try to find it. Yeesh. Mitt Romeny, when Governor: Massachusetts continues to be committed to improving air quality…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

British Judge Rules Against Bayes’s Theorem

A British judge has thrown a use of Bayes's rule out of his court. Not only that, his honor (Lordship?) ruled "against using similar statistical analysis in the courts in…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

What Are The Chances Of War With China?

By the year 2012, or 2017, or 2022, what are the chances China's military engages US forces? Difficult question. But one which is better than asking the title question---because nobody…
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Posted inBook review Culture Philosophy Statistics

Jeffrey Sachs Saves The World

The Price of Civilization: Reawakening American Virtue and Prosperity by Jeffrey Sachs   Says Jeffrey Sachs, economics professor at Columbia, "Economic theory indeed supports the view that high tax rates…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Robert Heinlein And Evolving Probabilities

Writer Stephen Dawson, a long-time participant at this blog, wrote and asked the following: In his The Moon is a Harsh Mistress, Robert Heinlein had his intelligent computer calculate the…
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Posted inStatistics

The Implications Of Yesterday’s Global Warming Post

There was nothing in the world wrong with my scientific paper "Global Warming Increases Disastrous Music: A Scientific Paper." Nothing, that is, that isn't wrong with any paper which seeks,…
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  1. C-Marie on Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science FailsMarch 2, 2026

    God is, and He has revealed Himself to us. We can believe Him or not believe Him by exercising our…

  2. Briggs on Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science FailsMarch 2, 2026

    Now Anonymous, you can't think this is an original objection, not after 2,000 years. Aristotle's, and later others, show why…

  3. Anonymous on Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science FailsMarch 2, 2026

    This is like a 14 square puzzle where you keep moving the logical inconsistency around, but never eliminating it. Both…

  4. Htos1av on Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; StationarityMarch 1, 2026

    great

  5. Tracy Platt on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 26, 2026

    What I miss even more than the ticket is a day skiing at Brighton for $1.10. Carumba! O.K, i dont…

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