Posted inStatistics
UN: Population To Swell To 15 Billion By 2100
It took two- to three-hundred thousand years for humans to break the 7 billion mark, which it is scheduled to do sometime late this year or early in 2012. But…
Posted inStatistics
D.J. Keenan’s And My BEST Methodology Reviews
Doug Keenan was asked by The Economist to have a gander at the statistics developed by the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) project. He did so. We must resist extensive…
Posted inStatistics
Richard Muller Gives Permission To Be Climate Skeptic, Shows Why
Update See my review of the BEST methodology here. Physicist Richard Muller has a piece in today's Wall Street Journal that should be read by everyone (The Case Against Global-Warming…
Posted inStatistics
Your Belief In God Is Causing Your Denial Of AGW
Update Simon Donner has a blog post on this paper, which links back here. Since all comments are closed after 8 days (to battle spam), I'm moving this post to…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Legal Standards Of Proof And Probability
Different courts and legal systems use diverse phrases about evidentiary standards of proof1. Few to none are precise in the sense that they offer a fixed probability number for this…
Posted inStatistics
There Is No Such Thing As A Scientific Poll
There is no such thing as an unscientific one, either. A poll is this: a question or questions that are interpreted and answered by a group of individuals at a…
Posted inStatistics
Romney and Holdren Sittin’ In A Tree
Update: Somehow---I don't know how---the beginning of this piece has disappeared. I'll try to find it. Yeesh. Mitt Romeny, when Governor: Massachusetts continues to be committed to improving air quality…
Posted inCulture Statistics
British Judge Rules Against Bayes’s Theorem
A British judge has thrown a use of Bayes's rule out of his court. Not only that, his honor (Lordship?) ruled "against using similar statistical analysis in the courts in…