Posted inFun Statistics
How To Find True Love: The Marriage Problem
MEB + ARK, a.k.a. the Haystack Hunters, wrote the following: As fans of your work in real life probability and breaking the law of averages, we were hoping you could…
Posted inStatistics
Hurricane Predictors Admit They Can’t Predict Hurricanes
My heart soared like a hawk1 after learning that Messieurs Philip Klotzbach and William Gray have admitted in print the hardest thing scientists can ever confess. That they were wrong.…
Posted inStatistics
CARB Misinterprets Statistics, Calls For Elimination Of Dust
The California Air Resources Board, or CARB, has issued a press release that shows how easy it is to misunderstand statistics. That most do---fail to comprehend what statistical results are…
Posted inFun Statistics
Are Moneylines Useful In Predicting NFL Games?
Today's post is over at Edgehogs. I wanted to know how good moneylines were at predicting wins and loses. Since Las Vegas is still in business, it was a good…
Posted inStatistics
Increasing Replication Of Un-Reproducibility In Science
Best science picture of the year, courtesy of the Wall Street Journal (and thanks to reader Dan Hughes): In just the last decade---ten mere years---the number of "peer-reviewed" journal articles…
Posted inStatistics
Geo-engineering The Climate: Durban Global Warming Conference
A group of scientists, funded generously by Big Green, which includes the Environmental Defense Fund, have released a report to coincide with the efforts of the Durban Global Warming Conference,…
Posted inFun Statistics
Are Experts Better At Predicting Sports Than Ordinary Fans?
Today's post is over at the new and, yes, improved Edgehogs.com. Our launch was a couple of months ago. Since that time we've got a good chunk of games and…
Posted inStatistics
What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part VI Climate Model Focus
This is a technical addendum to the main series. I would have skipped this, but Climategate 2.0 revealed many misapprehensions of verification statistics that I want to clear up, particularly…