Here’s the problem. You are a scientist, working on measuring the levels of aragonite in ocean water. It’s not very sexy and nobody beyond a small cadre seems to care. But it’s […]
But you must hate us!
I am in Ithaca, New York, teaching a short course at Cornell University. Have you ever visited Ithaca? It was once voted the “most enlightened city in America” by the far-left magazine […]
The Sean Bell shooting and probability
Yesterday, there were several protests in New York City. The participants were “outraged” over the recent acquittal of two black cops and one Lebanese cop who shot and killed Sean Bell, who […]
CO2 and Temperature: which predicts which?
Parts of this analysis were suggested by Allan MacRae, who kindly offered comments on the exposition of this article which greatly improved its readability. The article is incomplete, but I wanted to […]
Why multiple climate model agreement is not that exciting
There are several global climate models (GCMs) produced by many different groups. There are a half dozen from the USA, some from the UK Met Office, a well known one from Australia, […]
Spanish Expedition
I have returned from Madrid, where the conference went moderately well. My part was acceptable, but I could have done a better job, which I’ll explain in a moment. Iberia Airlines is […]
Quantifying uncertainty in AGW
My friends, I need your help. I have written a paper on quantifying the uncertainty of effects due to global warming, but the subject is too big for one person. Nevertheless, I […]
Homework #1: Answer part II
In part I, we learned that all surveys, and in fact all statistical models, are valid only conditionally on some population (or information). We went into nauseating detail of the conditional information […]
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