Statistics – Page 272 – William M. Briggs

Casey Anthony And The Probability of Guilt

What is the probability that Casey Anthony is guilty of murder? High, but according to twelve men and women honest and true, not high enough. High enough is supposed to…

Statistics

New Editorial Against Editorializing In Science Journals

The editorial is mine, Willie Soon's, David Legates's, and Bob Carter's, and it appears in the latest edition of Water, Air, & Soil Pollution. It's entitled "A Vaccine Against Arrogance"…

Culture Statistics

Title IX And Campus Equality

Under Title IX, a woman is entitled to equal access to everything on a college campus. That includes being safe. The most devastating thing is a young girl who reports…

Philosophy Statistics

Replication In Science

Have doubts about the latest finding from researchers? Confused that last week red wine "increased the risk of heart disease" but this week red wine "decreased the risk of heart…

Statistics

TSA De-diapers Old Lady (Update) And German Jokes

Another busy day---but still some things to ponder. TSA You'll have heard the TSA forced a 95-year-old woman, on her way home to die among family, was forced to strip…

Philosophy Statistics

A New (Old) View Of Statistics. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 11

It is often difficult to keep in mind all the links in a chain of argument when that chain is long.1 This is especially so when one expects that chain…

Statistics

Regression Examples. Normal Distributions Often Stink. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 10

Today, just one example, and the simplest kind, to show you that using regular regression, with its assumptions of "normality", can quickly lead to absurdities---absurdities which will pass unnoticed using…

Statistics

Picking X’s In Regression. The Role Of Relevance. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 9

Be sure to first read Statistical Significance Does Not Mean What You Think. Climate Temperature Trends then Regression Is Not What You Think. Climate And Other Examples, as this post…

Rudolph Harrier on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026
I've started thinking of this as the "juice loosener problem" (after the Simpsons bit where Dr. Nick hawks an orange…
Cary D Cotterman on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026
After spending years in school doing my own writing, then decades in my profession busting my ass to write somewhere…
Uncle Mike on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026
AI isn't the entity smoothing the data. The alleged decline in Arctic sea ice was a key assertion in Algore's…
JH on A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?March 10, 2026
The definition of cause can vary, and each incident may have its causes or contributing factors. I see coincidences as…
JH on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026
AI can be ‘gullible’ because it takes all the information fed into its optimization or backpropagation system. In many tasks,…