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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Romney and Holdren Sittin’ In A Tree

Update: Somehow---I don't know how---the beginning of this piece has disappeared. I'll try to find it. Yeesh. Mitt Romeny, when Governor: Massachusetts continues to be committed to improving air quality…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

British Judge Rules Against Bayes’s Theorem

A British judge has thrown a use of Bayes's rule out of his court. Not only that, his honor (Lordship?) ruled "against using similar statistical analysis in the courts in…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

What Are The Chances Of War With China?

By the year 2012, or 2017, or 2022, what are the chances China's military engages US forces? Difficult question. But one which is better than asking the title question---because nobody…
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Posted inBook review Culture Philosophy Statistics

Jeffrey Sachs Saves The World

The Price of Civilization: Reawakening American Virtue and Prosperity by Jeffrey Sachs   Says Jeffrey Sachs, economics professor at Columbia, "Economic theory indeed supports the view that high tax rates…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Robert Heinlein And Evolving Probabilities

Writer Stephen Dawson, a long-time participant at this blog, wrote and asked the following: In his The Moon is a Harsh Mistress, Robert Heinlein had his intelligent computer calculate the…
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Posted inStatistics

The Implications Of Yesterday’s Global Warming Post

There was nothing in the world wrong with my scientific paper "Global Warming Increases Disastrous Music: A Scientific Paper." Nothing, that is, that isn't wrong with any paper which seeks,…
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Posted inStatistics

Global Warming Increases Disastrous Music: A Scientific Paper

A scientific paper in a grand tradition (notice the scientific formatting and use of p-values): the custom is to read only the Abstract; only the brave and bored should venture…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Are Humans As Violent As In The Good Old Days?

If we had records of massacres as we have meteorological records, don't you think we might discover their internal laws, after several centuries of observation? --- Joseph de Maistre. There…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    Sometimes the "P" is silent, as in "swimming pool".

  2. EricKayScifi on Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!June 30, 2026

    There's also a complete lack of understanding that 'synthetic' data IS NOT actual data. Nor is 'extrapolating and modelling' real…

  3. hudbwu on The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David StoveJune 30, 2026

    Is this the essay in which he claims women are stupider because their bodies invest so much into reproduction they…

  4. Johnno on Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!June 29, 2026

    Complaining about deaths is bigoted micro-aggressive language targeted at minorities of peoplehood that believe in and worship Death as a…

  5. Johnno on The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David StoveJune 29, 2026

    "Everything in woman is a riddle, and everything in woman hath one answer - it is called pregnancy." - Friedrich…

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