Statistics – Page 275 – William M. Briggs

Geo-engineering The Climate: Durban Global Warming Conference

A group of scientists, funded generously by Big Green, which includes the Environmental Defense Fund, have released a report to coincide with the efforts of the Durban Global Warming Conference,…

Fun Statistics

Are Experts Better At Predicting Sports Than Ordinary Fans?

Today's post is over at the new and, yes, improved Edgehogs.com. Our launch was a couple of months ago. Since that time we've got a good chunk of games and…

Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part VI Climate Model Focus

This is a technical addendum to the main series. I would have skipped this, but Climategate 2.0 revealed many misapprehensions of verification statistics that I want to clear up, particularly…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part V

We have in our hands (via the predictive posterior) the probabilities that Susy's GPA is less than any number between 0 and 4, given that we accept the normal model…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV

In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part III

We have had two cases so far: arbitrary models for counterfactual Martians (Part I) and a deduced model for an urn holding dichotomous objects (Part II). The logic was identical…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part II

The models in Part I might not have "felt right" to you. But if that is so it is because your diet of probability examples has been too narrowly constricted.…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part I

The rules of logic are simple. Use whatever evidence you have, and no other, to figure the probability of a conclusion. These rules are all we need to understand what…

Susan Powers on Science Is Becoming FeelingsNovember 9, 2026
Thought I would demonstrate my laser sharp perspective: the authors are all women.
Briggs on Class 95: Answering P-Value Good Uses ChallengesNovember 8, 2026
Brett, Yes, I accept this correction. You're quite right. I let my enthusiasm get the better of me. I'll change.
Brett Watson on Class 95: Answering P-Value Good Uses ChallengesNovember 8, 2026
"The conclusion given these premises (a phrase which I ought to write in ten foot high letters) is FALSE." No.…
Francois Stallbom on Book Update: Launch DateNovember 7, 2026
Cant wait! Just finished reading book one for the second time with great enjoyment.
Briggs on The Solution To EvolutionNovember 7, 2026
Gareth, Switch to the Brave browser. You will thank me. No ads. Been using it for years.