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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Occam’s Razor And Induction

Occam's razor: The simplest hypothesis is usually the best. Simplest is easy to understand, and non-controversial, or relatively so. Consternation creeps in with usually. Before that, first understand what is…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Are You Good At Picking Football Games? Edgehogs

I haven't met a die-hard sports fan yet who hasn't claimed to be able to pick games better than everybody else. Just as I haven't met a gambler who hasn't…
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Posted inStatistics

Spencer’s Paper Reviewed; Remote Sensing Editor Wolfgang Wagner Resigns

Politics In one of the most asinine, self-promoting, sniveling, absurd, nakedly political moves Wolfgang Wagner has resigned, with trumpets blazing, his editorship of Remote Sensing. Why? Because the journal under…
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Posted inStatistics

Cosmic Radiation, Clouds, & Global Warming

Rumor is that James Hansen was so upset by CERN's CLOUD experiment results that he and a gaggle of rabid environmentalists stormed the White House and demanded that cosmic rays…
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Posted inStatistics

Mental Illness To Increase Due To Climate Change

Look out! "Climate change is here, now." And it is causing an increase in nuttiness and lunacy among the those that dwell Down Under. Or so says Tony McMichael "AO,…
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Posted inStatistics

The Increased And Increasing Chinese Military

More on matters that don't appear to be as urgent as they are. From the DoD's annual report on Chinese military capability, "In 2004, Hu Jintao articulated a mission statement…
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Posted inStatistics

Detecting Deceptive Opinion Spam

Ever seen a review like this? My husband and I satayed for two nights at the Hilton Chicago,and enjoyed every minute of it! The bedrooms are immaculate,and the linnens are…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Logical Probability And The IPCC’s Ambiguous Forecasts

This post is inspired by Roger Pielke, Jr., as well as Bernie, Matt, and other readers who asked me to have a look at some IPCC probability statements. Roger Pielke,…
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    "The prospect of cutting out a juicy heart has blurred their vision..." I commend you. A less restrained man might…

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    Thanks for the write-up. Thinking about things in the way of a probability distribution has always helped me, but also…

  5. Philip Rogan on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 24, 2026

    Brian, good comment. A coincidence is only a coincidence to the person to which the coincidence occurred.

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