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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Proving What You Want To Believe

You can always find a way to believe anything. That "always" is strict---the magic of belief, like a card trick with a gaffed deck, can always be worked. But just…
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Posted inStatistics

The Myth Of Killer Mercury: Guest Post By Willie Soon & Paul Driessen

Willie Soon has graciously allowed us to reprint his and Paul Driessen's editorial that ran in the 25 May 2011 Wall Street Journal. Dr Soon received double our normal rate…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

India Aborting Girls At Full Speed: Sex Selection And Demographics

Science is great. It---"it" is always an it, an invisible entity, a guiding sapience, an intelligence that can be looked to for guidance---can now us tell the sex of a…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Trolley Problem And Experimental Philosophy

The Trolley Problem, as given by Eric Schwitzgebel (as part of a larger survey): You are standing by the railroad tracks when you notice an empty boxcar rolling out of…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Wishcasting The End Of The World: Update

Wishcasting is when a forecast or prediction is shaded in the direction the forecaster or predictor wants the event to happen. For example, if you forecast this weekend's weather, you…
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Posted inStatistics

Can Telomeres Predict How Long You Will Live?

No, they can't. Not exactly, and perhaps not with sufficient precision to be useful to you. But there is a new company called Life Length who will sell you, for…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Belief In God “Rooted” In Human Nature Say Academics

New research has shown---and by "research" I mean a fact long known to citizens is revealed to academics who attach a p-value to it and publish it---"that suggests that religion…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Food Deserts: Millions Of Californians Starving Themselves Into Obesity

The blubber is flowing in California. So says that State's venerable University, Los Angeles division. It's an epidemic! Both excessive fatness "increased significantly in just six years". This isn't the…
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  1. EricKayScifi on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    @Cary, actually I heard the P values were actually really good in that study, but then the scientist couldn't believe…

  2. Cary D Cotterman on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    I just read an article that claimed ice cream is healthy food. I love ice cream, but for the last…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    Sometimes the "P" is silent, as in "swimming pool".

  4. EricKayScifi on Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!June 30, 2026

    There's also a complete lack of understanding that 'synthetic' data IS NOT actual data. Nor is 'extrapolating and modelling' real…

  5. hudbwu on The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David StoveJune 30, 2026

    Is this the essay in which he claims women are stupider because their bodies invest so much into reproduction they…

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