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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Trolley Problem And Experimental Philosophy

The Trolley Problem, as given by Eric Schwitzgebel (as part of a larger survey): You are standing by the railroad tracks when you notice an empty boxcar rolling out of…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Wishcasting The End Of The World: Update

Wishcasting is when a forecast or prediction is shaded in the direction the forecaster or predictor wants the event to happen. For example, if you forecast this weekend's weather, you…
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Posted inStatistics

Can Telomeres Predict How Long You Will Live?

No, they can't. Not exactly, and perhaps not with sufficient precision to be useful to you. But there is a new company called Life Length who will sell you, for…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Belief In God “Rooted” In Human Nature Say Academics

New research has shown---and by "research" I mean a fact long known to citizens is revealed to academics who attach a p-value to it and publish it---"that suggests that religion…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Food Deserts: Millions Of Californians Starving Themselves Into Obesity

The blubber is flowing in California. So says that State's venerable University, Los Angeles division. It's an epidemic! Both excessive fatness "increased significantly in just six years". This isn't the…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

“I Can See The Future!”

The future begins tomorrow. This being so, it doesn't seem especially difficult to say what will happen in that uncertain land. Weathermen, and their noble sisters the weatherwomen, daily dispatch…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Do Americans Still Dislike Atheists?

The answer is: Americans hate atheists just as much as they hate theists. Residents of these grand United States had always disliked prigs of any stripe and are not shy…
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Posted inStatistics

The Non-Candidacy Of Donald Trump

2020 Update Thanks for DAV for reminding me of this. This post below shows how far you can go wrong, how idiotic you can be, when you, like I, follow…
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  1. Rob Potter on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 29, 2026

    Asimov's robot stories are the best example that an artificial intelligence is not intelligence. They were a fabulous way for…

  2. John Pate on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 28, 2026

    We should all re-read our Ted Kaczynski materials. A man ahead of his time.

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 28, 2026

    While in university, I took a class called "Symbolic Logic". Logic was then taught through the Philosophy department, which was…

  4. Cary Cotterman on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 28, 2026

    Any giant ant who will eat Joan Collins is worth at least his weight in humans.

  5. McChuck on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 28, 2026

    Those who lack faith (belief) in God will believe in anything. Atheism is, itself, a religion, and as such under…

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