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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inStatistics

US Military Fatality Statistics: Have Suicides Increased?

All statistics were gathered from this DOD site. 2010 numbers were current as of 5 June this year; they were not part of the plots below. In 1983, the year…
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Posted inFun Statistics

World Cup Predictions Verified

All that was missing was the water for the players to plunge into. Still, referee Howard Webb must be a fan of the aquatic and artistic sport of diving, and…
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Posted inFun Statistics

The Predictive Skills of Octopii: Paul’s World Cup Prognostications

In Detroit, for that glorious game of soccer-on-ice-with-sticks, we---I still say "we"; you can never separate yourself from your birthplace---know what to do with octopuses, octopii as were: We toss…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Symmetry, Priors, Logical Probability, Infinities, and Needless Paradoxes

One reason why some reject the notions of logical probability and Bayesian statistics is because it is said that assignments of probability under symmetry generate paradoxes. However, as I will…
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Posted inStatistics

Lady Wins Fourth Lottery: What Are the Odds?

I'm in the wild blue yonder today; so here is a distraction. Thanks to reader Jade for suggesting the topic. Nobody can scratch better than Las Vegas resident Joan Ginther,…
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Posted inStatistics

Consensus Members Agree To Agree: Breaking Story

The agreement amongst climatologists who agree that mankind will cause devastating climate change is popularly known as "The Consensus." Those who agree with the consensus are part of the consensus;…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest: Kobayahsi Arrested! Records and Statistics

Sonna no uso da! Fuzakeruna yo! Were those the words of ex-champ Takeru Kobayahsi as he brazenly stormed the stage at the ninety-fifth annual Nathan's Hot Dog eating contest yesterday?…
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Posted inFun Statistics

World Cup Statistics and Predictions for the Final

A prediction (made on Monday, 28 June) verified: Although---and this has nothing to do with the issue at hand---Argentina's goaltender Sergio Romero stinks, and that's putting it nicely. Every shot…
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  1. John Pate on Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad DiceDecember 6, 2025

    The problem came when computers made it easy to plug numbers without you really knowing what you're doing. It became…

  2. Rudolph Harrier on Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad DiceDecember 6, 2025

    I think the problem is that many people want to have a consistent process above all else. They don't want…

  3. John Pate on Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad DiceDecember 5, 2025

    You would have been in your element Briggs. I was quite heavily into the statistics nonsense at the time due…

  4. Briggs on Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad DiceDecember 5, 2025

    John, Now that's very interesting. I would have loved to have heard that talk.

  5. John Pate on Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad DiceDecember 5, 2025

    This is why I laughed at the nonsense about Casinos using probability. All they care about is the House wins…

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