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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Planet Earth Al Gore Explains ‘Snowmageddon’: Fox News Story

I was quoted by Gene Koprowski in his Fox News story "Planet Earth Al Gore Explains 'Snowmageddon'". (This accounted for the several hundred Google and other search engine redirects to…
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Posted inStatistics

Are Tree Rings Low Pass Temperature Filters?

I don't know the answer to this question: I am not an expert in this area, and I haven't the time or resources to track down the data to discover…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Will The Religious Out-Breed Us All?

Thanks to long-time reader and contributer Ari Schwartz for bringing this to our attention. "It is widely agreed that religion has biological foundations---that belief in the supernatural, obedience to authority…
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Posted inStatistics

The Similarities Between Psychics And Global Warming Activists

The statistical evidence series will continue after the weekend. "I see the letter G." The woman closed her eyes, cocked her head, and looked inwardly. She became grave, tense. "There's...wait…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part III

To clarify: to prove false means to demonstrate a valid argument with a certain conclusion. If a theory/model says an event is merely unlikely---make it as unlikely as you like,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part II

I hope all understand that we are not just discussing statistics and probability models: what is true here is true for all theories/models (mathematics, physics, chemistry, climate, etc.). Read Part…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part I

These next posts are in the way of being notes to myself. Logic is the study of the relation between statements. For example, if "All green men are irascible, and…
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Posted inStatistics

Job Wanted: Tall Statistician Seeks Match

I am hoping that among my faithful readers there is somebody that knows somebody who might know a guy who's looking for a statistician. The economy is such that consulting…
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  1. N.S. Palmer on The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David StoveJune 26, 2026

    The problem arises because we sense a conflict of duties. Reason demands that we base conclusions on the evidence. Morality…

  2. Cary D Cotterman on The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David StoveJune 25, 2026

    Interesting, but he could have said everything he had to say in half as many words.

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David StoveJune 25, 2026

    Whatever women's intellectual deficiency, they make up for it with raw animal cunning.

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    Paul Johnson, the great British Historian, in his "History of the American People," the US started down the road to…

  5. Marbles! – William M. Briggs on Marbles!June 24, 2026

    […] I am on the road and am way behind on posts—I have a 3,500 word article on deriving Oughts…

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