Statistics – Page 288 – William M. Briggs

The “Statisticians: ‘Global Cooling’ a Myth” story

"J'accuse! A statistician may prove anything with his nefarious methods. He may even say a negative number is positive! You cannot trust anything he says." Sigh. Unfortunately, this oft-hurled charge…

Statistics

Briggs and Big Oil

The closest I come to "Big Oil" is when I create my spécialité de la maison: bacon-olive-oil confit. Incidentally, that's the only way to cook this miracle pig meat---frying removes…

Statistics

Podcast Lecture #3: Understanding Statistics and Probability

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_lecture_0003.mp3[/podcast] Today's lecture: Review Logic: If our premises are that we have a six-sided die that we'll toss, and that only one side will show on that toss, and that…

Statistics

Windows 7? Why not Linux, instead?

My logs show that only a paltry 3.6% of readers have reached Complete Enlightenment. The bad news is that 83.1% of you live a hellish existence and suffer regular torments…

Statistics

Not Evil, Just Wrong reviewed: Guest Post by Bernie

Today's guest post is by our very own Bernie, longtime reader and contributer. Too confused and too nuanced to be effective Phelim McAleer's and Ann McElhinney's Not Evil, Just Wrong…

Statistics

Full Disclosure, Anita Dunn, and Fox News: A Fairness Proposal for Journalists

In the United States, we have several major news outlets. On television: ABC, NBC, CBS, PBS, MSNBC, CNN, and Fox. There are also several national-ish newspapers (and a diminishing number…

Statistics

Podcast Lecture #2: Understanding Statistics and Probability

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_lecture_0002.mp3[/podcast] On today's lecture: Quick review All knowledge is conditional on evidence, which eventually leads back to our intuitions. The steps in an argument that make it valid are also…

Podcast Statistics

Podcast Radio Show â€“ Episode #4: Belief in Climate Models

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_14oct2009_0004.mp3[/podcast] On today's episode: Science and skeptical bloggers A small article in last week's Science magazine frets that skeptical bloggers are teasing climate scientists over their failed predictions. Bloggers are…

Chaeremon on AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor LieMay 5, 2025
Slashdot: News for nerds, stuff that matters (top parrot of "sensations" narrated by CNN, Guardian, etc) https://slashdot.org/poll/3281/when-will-agi-be-achieved … Never 2698…
Cary Cotterman on AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor LieMay 5, 2025
A world in which the computer overlords metamorphose hot young women into gurning Buddhas is one I want no part…
Robert Arvanitis on AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor LieMay 5, 2025
Start with how we think. Take in sensations. Store as memories. Replay them in alternative experiments to imagine possible futures.…
Kip Hansen on AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor LieMay 5, 2025
Briggs ==> Absolutely correct. All LLM-based AIs can only for forever predict the most likely next word, using its gigantically…
Uncle Mike on AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor LieMay 5, 2025
Wrong word: AI isn't hallucinating, it has dementia. Dementia is in, it's hip, it's cool. All the wokies have dementia.…