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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Homogenization of temperature series: Part I

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V Introduction Time to get technical. First, surf over to Willis Eschenbach's gorgeous piece of statistical detective…
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Posted inStatistics

San Francisco Chronicle can’t make up its mind about global warming

In today's print edition, above the fold, is the item: Climate change: The Obama administration declares that global-warming from man-made greenhouse gases endangers health. Note carefully that it has declared…
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Posted inStatistics

Pajamas Media Post: ‘The Copenhagen Diagnosis’ Fails Logic 101

Head on over to Pajamas Media for today's post. Thanks to David Steinberg for providing the title.
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Posted inStatistics

Protesters gather in Copenhagen. Why?

Be sure to visit again tomorrow, for another article in this series. Time is up. Time to fight passion with calm reason. That always works, doesn't it? Those thousands of…
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Posted inStatistics

A Response to What is—and what isn’t—evidence of global warming.

Reader Marvin was kind enough to pass on Wednesday's Pajama's Media article What is---and what isn't---evidence of global warming to a "highly educated" person (those are not scare quotes, but…
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Posted inStatistics

My Pajamas Media Climategate Article

Pajamas Media has published my article What is---and what isn't---evidence of global warming. I normally don't ask, but I'd be grateful if you'd pass this article on, link it around…
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Posted inStatistics

Climategate Predictions: The Aftermath

The aftermath isn't yet upon us. We are still in the in situ-math. But I thought it would be fun anyway to make some definite, testable predictions of what will…
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Posted inStatistics

The CRU “climategate” proxy code: a primer

I'm just getting into the CRU code: it's a lot of material and everything I say here about it is preliminary. Some of you will know what I'm going to…
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  1. Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.

  2. spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…

  3. JH on Class 56: The Best Model!June 29, 2025

    How can you make predictions in the big data era without using a model? Trust your gut.

  4. Jonas P. Kay on Which God Are You Rejecting? David Bentley Hart’s The Experience of God, Part IJune 28, 2025

    I answer all by saying you cannot get something from nothing. There is beauty in its simplicity and it is…

  5. Johnno on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJune 27, 2025

    So what's the betting pool on the odds about when and in which country will be the first to perform…

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