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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Science News Statistical Article: Odds Are, It’s Wrong

Many (thank you everybody!) people sent me the "Odds Are, It's Wrong" article by Tom Siegfried and have asked me to comment. Below are the key points; I will assume…
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Posted inStatistics

Obamacare Predictions: Part I

Here are some things I think will happen if Obamacare is passed. When I say "you" or "your", I mean "people on average." Obviously, some people will benefit. This is…
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Posted inStatistics

Randomized Trials Are Not Needed

I promised this article a long time ago: I hope these well known calculations are enough to give the gist. Randomized controlled trials are supposed to be the gold standard…
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Posted inStatistics

Final Healthcare Showdown: Government vs. Liberty

There's Nancy Pelosi, Six Gun of State strapped to her side, the sun burning overhead. And there's you, armed only with Freedom, thirty paces off. It's a standoff! If you…
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Posted inStatistics

Climate Model Uncertainty: Part II

Read Part I The Analysis (cont.) Two problems arise when comparing a model's integration (the forecast) with an analysis of new observations, which are not found when comparing the forecast…
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Posted inStatistics

Pajamas Media: President Obama To Make Poverty Permanent

Today's post is at Pajamas Media: President Obama To Make Poverty Permanent. The Obama administration will create a new definition of poverty, one that changes as a function of how…
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Posted inStatistics

Climate Model Uncertainty: Part I

Would you check the results of a model with another model? Before you answer, be sure you know what the question is. A model---whether it is physical, statistical, mathematical, or…
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Posted inStatistics

The Ease of Cheating With Statistics

Thanks to readers Ari Schwartz and Tom Pollard for suggesting this article. Take any two sets of numbers, where the only restriction is that a reasonable chunk inside each set…
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  1. C-Marie on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025

    "...being born wrong” Has anyone asked what being born has to do with one's sexuality??? "A zygote forms when sperm…

  2. Cary Cotterman on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025

    Jeff, I used to listen to Dennis Prager quite a bit, and I've heard him condemn pornography at length several…

  3. Cary Cotterman on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025

    As far back as I can remember, to around late toddlerhood, I was always drawn to girls, even long before…

  4. JerryR on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025

    I have a question: what does it mean to be conservative? I always considered conservative to be truth. So what…

  5. jeff on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025

    I understand your main point - the transexual contagion served to shift the conservative defense to the left leaving homosexuality…

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