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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inCulture Statistics

What Makes Music Bad? A New Scale: Part I, the Definition

It might have been coming out of the air space between her ear buds and flesh, or it might have been seeping through the holes in the woman's head. Either…
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Posted inStatistics

Democracy Not Possible; The Constitution Amended

Specter Haunted Nobody ever trusts a turncoat. Why do people never remember that? The minute you turn your face against your brothers, you are finished. Your former enemies will embrace…
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Posted inStatistics

How Republican Is The Country?

This picture tells the story: The percent of seats of the House of Representatives, the Senate, and the Presidency are plotted, starting in the year of the relevant election. I…
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Posted inStatistics

Anti-Tobacco Lobbying Is Bad For You

There is a smoking story making the rounds here in New York. Seems the New York State Legislature has cut funding thirty-percent to its anti-smoking program. These cuts were over…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Are Men Smarter Than Women?

The Question No. That is to say, Yes. But not really. Actually, what we have here is an badly phrased question: just what do we mean when we ask "Are…
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Posted inStatistics

Actions Speak Louder Than Words: Guest post by Frank Wallace

Join me with welcoming Frank Wallace, a person with not a little experience in operating under conflicting government regulations. The subject of uranium mining and its various proscriptions and prescriptions…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Confidence Intervals, Logic, Induction

Induction "Because all the many flames observed before have been hot is a good reason to believe this flame will be hot" is an example of an inductive argument, and…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Truth of Things: When Probability & Statistics Cannot Be Used

I am always struggling with (my limited ability of) finding ways to describe the philosophy behind logical probability, especially to people who have a difficult time unlearning classical frequentist theory.…
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  1. C- Marie on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I understood much of the logic of this. Thank you, Matt! God bless, C- Marie

  2. shawn marshall on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I asked Grok to assign probabilities to all the known facts about the Shroud of Turin and then calculate a…

  3. Rudolph Harrier on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    It's an interesting thought experiment. However, we will never have a practical implementation of the test because it would be…

  4. Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    hudbwu, You could be right.

  5. hudbwu on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    Caution: it may be that intelligence can not be confirmed by any behavioral test. For example, free will can not…

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