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Posted inStatistics

Predictive Statistics: GPA Case Study, Part I

Read Part II : Download the Quirk’s article. Predictive statistics differs from classical (frequentist and Bayesian) practices because it focuses on observables and not metaphysical entities. Observables are the data…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Ayn Rand and the Differences Between Groups

Roger Kimball is causing a stink, a predictable yet enjoyable stink, by publishing Anthony Daniels's review of an Ayn Rand biography in this month's The New Criterion. There are two…
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Posted inStatistics

R Lecture 7: Reading External Data Part II

10 minutes is a shockingly short period of time! Today, some common errors you WILL see when you try to read in data. The code below has many typos. Watch…
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Posted inStatistics

Climate Skeptic Conspiracy Strikes!

I have never been part of a conspiracy before---there was never the opportunity---so you can imagine how excited I am about finally joining one. It's true that, in 1978, I,…
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Posted inStatistics

R Lecture 6: Reading External Data Part I

10 minutes is a shockingly short period of time! Go to https://www.wmbriggs.com/book/ and save the advertising.csv file into your myR folder. Make SURE it is saved as a CSV file…
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Posted inStatistics

Quirk’s: Telling the future from the past: predictive versus classical statistics

Today's post is at Quirk's, the well known trade journal and marketing research review. If you want to read the article on-line at Quirk's, registration is required, but free. You…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Malthus Was Wrong, But Not Why You Think

It's hard to think of a historical writer more misunderstood than Thomas Malthus. A week doesn't go by without somebody dropping his name, but only to show how wrong he…
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Posted inStatistics

R Lecture 5: Reading Built-in Data

This is the fifth in a series of lectures on R. 10 minutes is a shockingly short period of time! Today, we read in some datasets that come with R.…
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  1. John Pate on The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As SimulationDecember 8, 2025

    …another way of putting it, more succinctly: consciousness does not have the halting problem.

  2. John Pate on The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As SimulationDecember 8, 2025

    The most straightforward indicator that computers don't have minds is that computers don't exist in the eternal now. They have…

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    Well, having made it all the way through, my takeaways were: 1. The answer to the question, "what is the…

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    It can't be simulations all the way down because a simulation needs an underlying reality to simulate. But also, in…

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    There is only one reality. Our perceptions of it may differ. Reality is real. The map is not the territory.…

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