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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Replacements for Representation: Bayes From the Ground Up

A primary justification for Bayesian probability is De Finetti's representation theorem, which is stated like this. You are to observe a sequence of 0s and 1s, "failures" and "successes" if…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Finitism, Physics, Cellular Automata: The Universe as Logic

In no way is this article meant to be complete. It is more in the way of musings---a crude introduction---so that we can see where to go. Is the universe…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Postmodernism and the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science

Since I am, by nature, a compassionate individual, I had been thinking of how we might Sokal the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science (PNAS). It is for their…
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Posted inStatistics

Feigned Surprises of the Week: Journolist and Our New Tax

Said the main-stream journalist on Journolist, "If they of the right wing don't behave and treat our Golden Boy properly, we'll call them racists. It matters not whom we pick…
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Posted inFun Statistics

A Bust—I mean must—Read; Or, An Evolution in Bra Sizes

"Excuse me, miss. Would you care to participate in science?" Sometimes being a statistician is enviable. In a flash of scientific brilliance, Australian statisticians have just completed a massive study…
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Posted inFun Statistics

M. Night Shyamalan, Mel Gibson, and John Wayne

Part II of the Two-Envelope problem was not too friendly, so here's something that is. Via HotAir, I came across the site Marginal Revolution, in which was featured a graph…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Two-Envelope Problem Solution: Part II

Read Part I first. We are in the peek first game here. The distribution of N When X is odd, and all X are discrete, we know we should always…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Two-Envelope Problem Solution: Part I

Another probability "paradox", the two-envelope problem1, goes like this: Before you are two envelopes, A and B. One of them contains $X and the other $2X (which is equivalent to…
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  1. David on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    I would also like to point out that slaves often had *better* medical care than their working-class white counterparts, being…

  2. Cary Cotterman on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    Perhaps slave traders found low-intelligence blacks easier to capture, resulting in an intellectually challenged population of blacks in the U.S.…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    Where do homicide rates fit in?

  4. McChuck on Is Moral Certainty Possible?August 20, 2026

    I am morally certain that murdering innocent children for fun and profit is evil. There. That was easy.

  5. JohnK on Is Moral Certainty Possible?August 19, 2026

    For me, 'moral certainty' is a category error. Such talk has to be refused, not engaged. One example. The New…

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