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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Democracy Not Possible; The Constitution Amended

Specter Haunted Nobody ever trusts a turncoat. Why do people never remember that? The minute you turn your face against your brothers, you are finished. Your former enemies will embrace…
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Posted inStatistics

How Republican Is The Country?

This picture tells the story: The percent of seats of the House of Representatives, the Senate, and the Presidency are plotted, starting in the year of the relevant election. I…
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Posted inStatistics

Anti-Tobacco Lobbying Is Bad For You

There is a smoking story making the rounds here in New York. Seems the New York State Legislature has cut funding thirty-percent to its anti-smoking program. These cuts were over…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Are Men Smarter Than Women?

The Question No. That is to say, Yes. But not really. Actually, what we have here is an badly phrased question: just what do we mean when we ask "Are…
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Posted inStatistics

Actions Speak Louder Than Words: Guest post by Frank Wallace

Join me with welcoming Frank Wallace, a person with not a little experience in operating under conflicting government regulations. The subject of uranium mining and its various proscriptions and prescriptions…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Confidence Intervals, Logic, Induction

Induction "Because all the many flames observed before have been hot is a good reason to believe this flame will be hot" is an example of an inductive argument, and…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Truth of Things: When Probability & Statistics Cannot Be Used

I am always struggling with (my limited ability of) finding ways to describe the philosophy behind logical probability, especially to people who have a difficult time unlearning classical frequentist theory.…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Poem Code Challenge Solution

Back in September we surrendered to our geek roots and described poem codes. These are a handy method of enciphering short messages in the absence of electronic equipment. A poem…
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  1. Marbles! – William M. Briggs on Marbles!June 24, 2026

    […] I am on the road and am way behind on posts—I have a 3,500 word article on deriving Oughts…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Marbles!June 24, 2026

    For the past 48 hours, I've been considering a fundamental, structural, problem with marbles; " Marmorism". Some people will accumulate…

  3. John Pate on Marbles!June 23, 2026

    Marbles was a thing in my primary school in Cambridge, England in the sixties. I don't recall girls ever playing…

  4. Jess on Marbles!June 23, 2026

    Somewhere, I have my brother's bag of marbles. I sometimes think I should go through them to see if there…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on Marbles!June 23, 2026

    In the summer of 1960, in Fresno, California, I lost my promotional "KYNO Top-Dog Radio" boulder in a game of…

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