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William M. Briggs

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Posted inFun Statistics

Results of Complete Prediction of 2009 NFL Season

Before the 2009 season began, I developed a very simple predictive1 model based solely on each NFL team's historical record. Here is what was said about the model: I used…
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Posted inStatistics

Fruit-of-the-Loom Bomber update

Yesterday, I maligned President Obama. I cast an aspersion that should have remained un-cast. I hurled an insult that should have been left un-hurled. Yes, I was wrong. But I…
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Posted inStatistics

Obama responds to the Fruit-of-the-Loom Bomber; White House now officially resembles Naked Gun

"We will not rest until we find all who were involved and hold them accountable," Mr. Obama told reporters during a break in his vacation. He and Michelle then went…
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Posted inStatistics

Health care: Dems to vote to increase taxes and debt ceiling simultaneously

Some ill-informed persons out there actually had the temerity to accuse Democrats as the "tax and spend" party. A stereotype! Whatever could have given them that idea? Perhaps this: Democrats…
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Posted inStatistics

The Democrat Health Care Power Grab

Is there anybody out there---non-elected politician, that is---who is actually for this? If so, can I ask what are you for? His Lordship Reid has not released the text of…
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Posted inStatistics

Pajamas Media: What Happens After Copenhagen?

Today's post is over at Pajamas Media. Some more predictions about what happens after Copenhagen ends. Example: a money deal will be reached. Recall that these are predictions, not desires.…
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Posted inStatistics

Homogenization of temperature series: Part V, The real Grand Finale

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V Much of what we discussed---but not all---is in this picture. Right click and open it in…
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Posted inStatistics

Homogenization of temperature series: Part IV

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V How much patience do you have left? On and on and on about the fundamentals, and…
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  1. Neil Jordan on Class 79: Time Series ExampleFebruary 20, 2026

    Does the passage of time cause ice, or does ice cause the passage of time? Mystical statistical court of appeals…

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    Yes "AI" is just computer models. Better - in the sense of more competent in tasks than before. This does…

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