Posted inStatistics
2000 Scientists Demand Climate Action! Part II
Read Part I Cap & Trade & Tax & Spend is not dead. It was never even ailing. It's healthy and alert and standing in the corner, unnoticed. It has…
Posted inStatistics
2000 Scientists Demand Climate Action! Part I
Let's suppose everything you have heard about global warming is true. It really will warm by a half-degree Centigrade by 2050, or even by three-quarters of a degree, or whatever.…
Posted inStatistics
Democrats’ Appalling Budget Wishcast
Update No extra charge for today's initially misspelled headline. It is a logical fallacy to say that it OK for John to lie, cheat and steal because Mary lied, cheated…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Science News Statistical Article: Odds Are, It’s Wrong
Many (thank you everybody!) people sent me the "Odds Are, It's Wrong" article by Tom Siegfried and have asked me to comment. Below are the key points; I will assume…
Posted inStatistics
Obamacare Predictions: Part I
Here are some things I think will happen if Obamacare is passed. When I say "you" or "your", I mean "people on average." Obviously, some people will benefit. This is…
Posted inStatistics
Randomized Trials Are Not Needed
I promised this article a long time ago: I hope these well known calculations are enough to give the gist. Randomized controlled trials are supposed to be the gold standard…
Posted inStatistics
Final Healthcare Showdown: Government vs. Liberty
There's Nancy Pelosi, Six Gun of State strapped to her side, the sun burning overhead. And there's you, armed only with Freedom, thirty paces off. It's a standoff! If you…
Posted inStatistics
Climate Model Uncertainty: Part II
Read Part I The Analysis (cont.) Two problems arise when comparing a model's integration (the forecast) with an analysis of new observations, which are not found when comparing the forecast…