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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Truth of Things: When Probability & Statistics Cannot Be Used

I am always struggling with (my limited ability of) finding ways to describe the philosophy behind logical probability, especially to people who have a difficult time unlearning classical frequentist theory.…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Poem Code Challenge Solution

Back in September we surrendered to our geek roots and described poem codes. These are a handy method of enciphering short messages in the absence of electronic equipment. A poem…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Is Experimental Economics Irrational?

Everybody knows there's no such thing as money. So how come everybody acts like it's real? In particular, why do economists and other similar creatures find the lack of "rationality"…
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Posted inStatistics

My Answers to Willis Eschenbach’s 14 + 2 Questions

Repost Mr Eschenbach had not had the chance to respond to this article before the two weeks wherein comments are automatically closed have elapsed. This re-post will allow him, and…
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Posted inStatistics

What Can Volcanic Dust Models Tell Us About Cap & Trade?

Say Eyjafjallajokull three times fast. I wish I could say it once. I've heard it in so many different forms since it blew its stack that I can't be sure…
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Posted inStatistics

The Pournelle vs. Nolan Chart: Political Throwdown

Before Jerry Pournelle began writing science fiction; before, that is, he teamed with Larry Niven to write the classic Lucifer's Hammer1, he was a political scientist. Pournelle was dissatisfied with…
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Posted inStatistics

Russia Subtracted Most People; India Added Most.

It's Friday and time for something light. In 2006, Russia lost 732,000 people. Don't bother searching for them, because most of them were never born. Its neighbor Ukraine also misplaced…
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Posted inStatistics

Pajamas Media: The Dismal Economics of Utopia

Today's post is at Pajamas Media: The Dismal Economics of Utopia. This is first is a short series. I thought it would be fun to show how the utopian ideas…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With PersonalityOctober 22, 2026

    Across the world, many jurisdictions ban pet "pit bulls". Are they in error?

  2. NLR on Against Numerology: Some Basic CalculationsOctober 19, 2026

    The mathematician Richard Guy wrote a paper "The strong law of small numbers", where he said, facetiously, but also serirously:…

  3. aGrimm on Book UpdateOctober 16, 2026

    I'm looking forward to the book; warts and all the first was enlightening and fun to read.

  4. John Pate on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    I'm a big fan of LaTeX. I wrote a class package that made it into one or more of the…

  5. Ursula on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    i have your first edition which I read, pencil in hand foor the typos. Loved it anyway! Will be buying…

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