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Mask Forever, Says Experts’ Model, It Saves Lives!
Posted inStatistics

Mask Forever, Says Experts’ Model, It Saves Lives!

Here's a question for you, brought to you by propagandists: "Could permanent masks in public become Vic policy?" And here's the headline: "Could wearing masks in public be the answer…
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How To Discover Any Trend You Want In Climate Time Series
Posted inStatistics

How To Discover Any Trend You Want In Climate Time Series

Day five of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…
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Posted inStatistics

How Smoothing Time Series Generates Massive Over-Certainty

Day four of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…
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Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake
Posted inClass Statistics

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…
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The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves
Posted inStatistics

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…
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Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!
Posted inStatistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…
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Posted inStatistics

Over-Certainty Is One Of The Main Causes Of Bad Science: Brain Volume & IQ Example

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Don't miss…
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National Association of Scholars: Is Science Broken? (Make a guess!)
Posted inPodcast Statistics

National Association of Scholars: Is Science Broken? (Make a guess!)

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Last week…
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  1. spetzer86 on Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The ScienceAugust 7, 2025

    I'm assuming they only asked pilots of fixed-wing aircraft and not those rotary-wing pilots flying in the Washington, DC area.

  2. spetzer86 on Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1August 7, 2025

    A person could still game your system by doing something complicated but not impossible. For example, repeatedly selecting one card…

  3. hudbwu on New Definition Of Death To Increase Organ Harvest BountyAugust 7, 2025

    > Today they take people who docs declare are in “irreversible coma” etc. and not “brain dead”. They are wheeled…

  4. hudbwu on Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The ScienceAugust 7, 2025

    A simple way to improve the study is to fire the subjects that don't fulfil some perfomance criterion. That would…

  5. Lou on Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1August 7, 2025

    Hello, Class 60: I am sticking with it, and its not at all too difficult. Please keep going at your…

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